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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. There's also the CAPE and the Goldsboro split, which is even lesser known
  2. Preview for our hurricane up the bay in September
  3. If Norfolk didn't get 99'd on the 20th, they would have hit 100F or above for the 4th day in a row. they are currently at 100/74/113.
  4. Very cold cloud tops in these cells. Surpassing -80C in the coldest spots.
  5. This was a view of my yard before last night's droughtbuster now
  6. Looks like a line developing, it will enter a very high CAPE environment as it heads east. SBCAPE values of 5,000 over the area along with 3,000 MLCAPE
  7. Dewpoint briefly reached 80F before going back to 79. 91/79/108
  8. Atmosphere destabilizing nicely.
  9. If I had a shot last night for every lightning flash, I would have been blackout drunk in 5 minutes
  10. Future mesoanalysis has a 4,500 CAPE bullseye over MD's eastern shore this afternoon. Will be interesting to see how strong the storms get
  11. Major lightning show continuing and the cell is getting bigger along with backbuilding, another cell to the north as well which is gaining steam. I think I'm getting lucky tonight 10:35 PM edit: Shellacked. Heavy rain. lightning everywhere. 11:45 PM edit: Storms weakening substantially to my east. Strobe light show pretty much over. Tomorrow we rinse and repeat?
  12. Continuous lightning to my south with -80C cloud tops in that cell. heading NE
  13. I predict that those storms are gonna fall apart after hitting the Chesapeake Bay rain shield.
  14. Fly number 5 that I've killed in my house today. They are really trying hard to escape the heat.
  15. Ocean city water temps are on the warm side. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/data/coastal-water-temperature-guide/catl.html
  16. Starting to see the reappearance of troughs off the east coast on the long range modeling. This has me wondering if we're going back to the cutoff ULL pattern over the east coast from a month ago. If so, then I'm gonna start getting really worried about potential east coast landfalls. Also,
  17. And it has MBY mostly dry. Shocker.
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