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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. Severe partly cloudy skies here and windy. Awesome weather.
  2. It may seem like a wild fantasy, well, it is. For another 5 to 10 years at least. 2009-10 like years have a return period of every 20 years or so most likely. The least we can expect between now and 5 years is one like 2013-14 or 14-15.
  3. Or it could start in January of 2021 and we wouldn't even know it. There's always that 1 percent chance that LR models dramatically flip from warm to cold and snowy within just a few model runs, under 7 days out and it verifies. OTOH we could be dealing with years before we get another decent winter. I'm going out on a few limbs to say that 2021-22 will be at least half decent. This winter will probably be another non-winter like last year.
  4. Trace McSorely has entered the game.
  5. Greg Roman is complete crap and is the reason why a lot of our games are failing.
  6. Only a few more model runs until it shows a massive blizzard for the Mid Atlantic?
  7. Big time trough over Siberia. Would mean a very cold air source to tap into with cross-polar flow on the 11-15 day GEFS
  8. The 50/50 high is forcing the low to the north, resulting in all rain or mostly rain at the coast. Only the interior and highlands get decent snowfall totals. Change that to a 50/50 low and it has nowhere to go but out to sea, which is a colder solution.
  9. This could be one of those winters that feature moderate sized snowstorms (between 6 and 12 inches) or clippers that are immediately followed by very cold temps because of a -EPO and PV parked over southern Canada. Snowpack retention ftw
  10. I knew that these "good looks" were merely another mirage yet again and we enter another sucky winter with barely any snow. But then again it's a moderate La Nina so I am not surprised. Let the reaping begin
  11. What if we are finally getting our Nino response from the previous failed years during a moderate la nina? Say hello to 2009-10.. but in 2020-21!
  12. Can you elaborate the issues with the 2009 storm? Curious.
  13. Looks like somebody upgraded from the power showers to the power squall
  14. 100% of winters below 10'' by 2050?
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