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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. Radar showing 2 outflow boundaries heading towards each other over the DE bay.
  2. Flooding rescues happening in Philly currently
  3. Craven/Brooks SigSvr up to 40 in SEPA with 30+ all around the area along with a wide expanse of 4,500 J/kg SBCAPE/3000-3500 MLCAPE and DCAPE values 900-1100.
  4. No FFW here, probably because of abnormally dry conditions raising FFG
  5. Lifted indices of -10 in northern DE and a small spot of 5,000 SBCAPE as well. I see turkey tower clouds everywhere.
  6. Could be a big day for thunderstorms over here on both the NAM and the latest HRRR runs. SBCAPE values of 5500 - 6000 J/kg (something I have not seen in a very long time). Would be an absolute bummer to waste that much CAPE today.
  7. Very hot July coming up per euro monthly The ECMWF has a 597 DM ridge stretching from Oklahoma to Ohio 10 days out. If anything it will be even hotter starting mid-July onward.
  8. Sunrise pic taken from Chesapeake Bay bridge the morning of July 1
  9. Gonna have to start slant sticking rain soon
  10. Pity meso out. Why they even bothered putting it out idek. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1107.html 91/73 out.
  11. I heard the sound too. Crazy booming sound every few seconds and what looks like giant sparks flying out in every direction from wherever the sound was coming from. Reminds me of fireworks.
  12. Things have shifted noticeably wetter in the 14-day period overnight. Temps look to be about the same with low-mid 90s and very high humidity, with chances for widespread thunderstorms next weekend. There is chances for isolated-scattered thunderstorms most of this week, however I expect it to be mainly dry. There could be some strong wind gusts and heavy rain with any thunderstorm that forms in the I-95 corridor from DC-Philly. SBCAPE values already over 3,000 J/kg and it's not even 9 AM yet here. DCAPE over 1,000 J/kg as well will support healthy downdrafts. Isolated-scattered convection until the loss of daytime heating commences. Highs in the low-mid 90s for most of the area today with dews in the lower 70s will support heat indexes around 100F.
  13. No end in sight for 90s+ starting tomorrow unless something changes and it also looks pretty dry too. We do heat very well in summer now that the climate change continues to accelerate.
  14. Essentially a 2 week heatwave with temps above 90 if the weather forecast verifies
  15. I woke up and stepped outside on my front porch and this huge lightning bolt shoots across the sky. Nice surprise
  16. The 6-10 day period looks somewhat wetter than normal in the SE and Mid-Atlantic so maybe increased storm chances along with heat. After that though the 8-14 day looks drier.
  17. Must be the subsidence on the southwest side of the ULL.
  18. Another day of 7000+ j/kg of CAPE in the great plains right now. To add to that, new cells are rapidly developing right in the bullseye of that CAPE.
  19. 88/66F Edit: Looks like it'll be 89 for the high, just shy of 90.
  20. If the 06z GFS verifies for the July 9th - July 15th period, get ready for some very hot days and hot nights in the upper 70s inland and low 80s along the Chesapeake bay. Probably won't verify that hot though, but it's a fun run to look at for heat lovers.
  21. Insane CAPE values of over 6000 J/kg over western Nebraska and causing an absolute light show in western North Dakota right now.
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