JakkelWx

84/74. We drink the air today.

Mid - upper 80s in the forecast here today with very high dews. Doesn't look as cloudy as I once thought based on satellite for today

ANOTHER AOI and it's only May 28th. Third one. 30/30. Chances are pretty low for development, and if development occurs, it will likely be subtropical in nature. Can you imagine if Cristobal formed right before June 1st, making it the third named pre-season storm? Either way, possibly a grim sign of what's to come during peak hurricane season. Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 725 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low pressure over the central Atlantic. 1. A surface trough and associated upper-level disturbance are producing disorganized shower activity and gusty winds over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics on Friday and Saturday as it moves generally northward. Development is not expected after that time due to unfavorable environmental conditions. For additional information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Friday, or earlier if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Some magical force is causing our precious rains to disappear on the models as we get closer. UV index tonight is forecast to be a 0/10. We truly live in dark times nowadays. Edit: just like that, summer shows its true presence after a very brief cooldown.

AMATT All March All The Time, except when it isn't AMATT, its AHATT from late May - early October.

82/75. First really muggy day of the year.

DCA: +1.5 NYC: +1.2 BOS: +0.3 ORD: +2.4 ATL: +1.5 IAH: +1.1 PHX: +2.0 DEN: +2.3 SEA: +0.3

Funny excerpt from NWS Houston: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0 Beyond 240 hours? Why are you asking beyond 240 hours? If beyond 240 hours you go, only pain will you find. Yes, I see what the GFS is doing way out there, and I bring it up for the SOLE. PURPOSE. of being a buzzkill. We are now approaching the time of year when the GFS loves to generate tropical cyclones in the western Gulf out of the Central American Gyre in its extended range. The GFS does this...a lot. Every once in a great while, it happens in real life, too! So, if someone starts buzzing about the hurricane in the Gulf in two weeks, let us all take a deep breath and remember that far more likely than not, this is just the GFS reminding us that it is almost June, and nothing more. Regardless of what one model says about a couple weeks out, it is almost hurricane season, and we should be working on being prepared for anything that may come in the next several months as a matter of course. 25

Cranky says this is a random low.

Memorial day today was absolutely awesome. Had a small BBQ (it's ok, police, it was like 6 people)

Man these no-see-ums are going crazy in my backyard.

17/10/6

Fire up dem bug zappers! Do you have one of these bug zapper light bulb things that you suspend from the porch roof and bugs get attracted to them and get zapped?

Tomorrow's high is in the low 80s. We summer. Also a chance for some boomers tonight with bursts of heavy rain.

BWI: 96F DCA: 97F IAD: 97F RIC: 100F

Pfft. Everybody knows that getting a -NAO during winter is absolutely futile these days. I'm consulting with the reaper @WxWatcher007 for an early booking in the panic room for next winter. Fire up that thread!

It's gotta be an 11 year cycle right? 2009-10 was the last minimum, and 2020-21 is just coming out of the minimum so perfect time to get a february 2010 repeat. Maybe a bootleg 2010 tho as ENSO is gonna be in the la nina phases instead of the el nino during fall-winter of 2009-10.

it's almost horse flies and no-see-ums season. I can ride my bike on a sweaty summer evening down the road these no-see-ums form clouds of hundreds in a concentrated spot and whack you in the face. disgusting feeling.

This may actually verify. Forgive me if these are my famous last words

Right on cue, the last week of may looks like mid 80s starting Wed-Sat then cooling slightly into the upper 70s. Humidity very high too with the chance of scattered showers. What would be May without a direct transition into early summer conditions, after being in early spring for the past 5 months

Does look like easterly flow for the next week. However, as the ULL departs the winds become weak and the strong diurnal heating of late May finally overcomes the bleh airmass and we warm into the 70s and some 80s here and there

Ya never know.. out of all years since the last actual cool summer we've had, this year seems like one of those years where the warm ups keep getting delayed in the LR and we're ending up with a sunny version of easterly flow diarrhea for the next 10 days

I am starting to doubt we're going to get a hot summer. No sign of any prolonged heat, just tons and tons of easterly flow 60s/70s as far as I can see. Memorial day weekend has trended colder and the winds are from the east-northeast till probably next wednesday

Lol, the time we finally do get a ridge in the east, it's all the way up in canada and we have easterly flow until the 27th. Memorial day looks to be in the low 70s here. I need it to actually be warm like its supposed to be for late May.