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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. 50/50 low, confluence and a 1030s high and it's still rain somehow. I call BS
  2. That is so close to snow here. A one degree tick colder for the Monday system and that means getting an inch or two of wet paste or all rain.
  3. I'm gonna need a serious shovel for the late week system this'll do Hopefully being a debbie downer on purpose will cause the models to continue trending snowier until i'm under a foot 72 hours out
  4. The cold rain on top of the mild rain will make it harder to shovel
  5. That's a huge jump. Has me in the 10% for seeing a foot of snow or greater. Probably doesn't mean much, but it's a start
  6. thank god you're not being serious
  7. The 12z CMC run is the most realistic run for this storm imo
  8. Deep Thunder = biggest weenie model there ever was
  9. @DTWXRISK The 18z GFS seems pretty progressive. Do you think the crappy STJ handling in this model plays a role?
  10. lol on the border of all rain and starting as ice.
  11. Nobody sees that 50/50 low? That's a crazy 50/50 there.. 958 mb of goodness
  12. Yeah I expect the snowfall mean here to go up based on these trends
  13. Yeah jebwalking in sideways heavy rain 20 miles south of the rain/snow line sounds like a great jebwalk Snowfall out to 174 on the 12z EPS.
  14. The 12z EPS is still rain here at 138 then at 141 things turn rapidly into a heavy snow. By 144 the precip is exiting. The final grand total is 1 inch of snow
  15. Don't start the thread for the December 20th HECS until the Dec 16th/17th storm is over
  16. When the HP is further west, that means the cold air is coming more at a direct angle for us from the north instead of NE IIRC
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