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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I got a pic of the fire near Rocky Top from the Clinch River this afternoon: After poking around on Twitter, I tried to get a picture of the aurora some people were getting (potentially the faint red in the lower right):
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS and GEFS are at least starting to show a general 1 -2 inches over the whole TN Valley
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    This would be even more awesomerer (6z GFS out to 384)
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    I’m about ready to start tracking a good rain like I do snow lol. Time to start looking at EPS members for fantasy rainstorms.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah it almost looks about as good as some of the looks we've gotten in some recent Januarys, lol Storm is still there at 18z, but more westerly track Here is the 12z gif @Carvers Gap
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'll toss this over here from Banter at the request of Carver. I do think there is another tropical system incoming, I just hope it trends to dump some rain on us! That qualifies as a Preserved for Posterity run of the GFS.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    This would be a fun evolution to watch:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    I really think the tropics are messing with the pattern progression over N. America this fall. Once again we have a hurricane in the Atlantic locking a ridge over us as a trough tries to move in. Didn't someone in the main El Nino thread for the whole forum post that this has been one of the busiest tropical Atlantic seasons on record for an El Nino?
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Does the "snow before Halloween" rule apply only to La Nina winters?
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Nice rainbow sunset yesterday!
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Speaking of the 12z CMC, that was a wild end @Carvers Gap Some tropical system merging with a mid latitude trough and cut off Baja low mess: That looks like a 3500' elevation and up snow pattern evolution. Probably won't work out but would be wild.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Too bantery?
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    Storm rolling off the plateau yesterday PM:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    This may just be anecdotal, but I feel like the atmosphere over East TN has just been stagnant lately. Models were not enthused yesterday AM about rain making it off the plateau and as far as I could tell, the line of storm pushed, at least in part, all the way to the NC border. This AM too, showers and storms look pretty healthy in middle TN and KY. Will those make it into the valley? Even if they don't I think things are starting to move around at the mid and upper levels again. Probably helps that we have weak sauce TCs and subtropical systems working on the subtropical ridge over head now instead of Cat 3 and 4 hurricanes bullying it.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think these tropical and psuedo-tropical systems off the SE coast have been messing up the pattern progression. There seem to have been troughs that want to swing through, but the tropics have been stopping things up. I will 100% take what the 12z GFS is trying to sell me in long range. The GFS seemed to catch onto these surface highs building in from the Northeast a few weeks ago, maybe once the pesky lower heights off the SE coast clear out we can get some pattern progression, for better or for worse. I like blocky patterns in winter, but not stagnant patterns, lol.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Still not much wrt foliage in Roane or my part of S Morgan county. Some spots above 2000' here and there, and typical yellowing of poplars, but that's about it. Nice view from work today looking ESE: subsidence overhead as air drops off the plateau: https://i.imgur.com/of5FVFG.mp4
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Nice shower developing yesterday over Waldon Ridge between Roane and Morgan counties:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah the lightning and thunder here are the worst part of this line right now. A lot of energy with these storms coming off the plateau.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    I didn't think about it at the time, but I have a radarscope account that lets me access historical data back to a point.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some summer weather/ nature pics. First few are for the field trip I run for a local community college: High desert monsoonal storms: Dust storm near Chaco Canyon: St Simon's Island storm: Big South Fork:
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    @nrgjeff Here are the reflectivity and storm relative velocities from about 1250 PM through around 230:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Thanks man, I'm ok. Been a rough year for the Rambler household. I lost my dad and my wife lost her mom within one month earlier in the year. Been dealing with a broken toe and possible meniscus tear for the past couple of months too. I'm doing ok though. Saw some snow on the GFS in British Columbia and was already thinking about one of those zoom in gifs, lol. Worst of the storms passed us by this week! I have some good summer pics I will post soon. Hope all is well with y'all !
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Honestly, like y'all were saying, I couldn't believe radar was lighting up with all those hook echoes. I was just expecting a typical discreet storms west and middle TN that turn into a line as they approach.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Got some pics of the second MoCo tornado warned storm driving back home through Oliver Springs: These are looking right at the hook on the radar: Radar at the time. I was at the X looking in the direction of the arrow:
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