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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Load of sleet falling right now in Morgan County.
  2. RGEM throwing out 3" an hour rates in parts of SW VA tomorrow morning: NAM 3k not too far off: GFS looks even better towards High Knob:
  3. And so begin our semi-annual February floods: The firehose is poised and aimed. The creeks and streams runneth over. Puddles gather on low lying areas. Dams are pumping out 2-3 generators. The Holston River in west Kingsport this past Friday (2/7) The Obed today 2/9 MRX:
  4. 16th - 17th looks like it has some potential to be one of the rare "shift south" storms with the massive -AO and Greenland block. Some small hits on the ensembles in a "wave riding a front" just in time situation for parts of TN for now. Probably not worth digging much deeper for now.
  5. Latest janetjanet outlook: Pretty cool page with a bunch of togglable functions on the experimental water page: https://water.noaa.gov/ Here's the page with the flood outlook products: https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-national-fho-archive?d=2025-02-08
  6. Man, that storm had some staying power, it stayed alive almost to the NC coast: Part one from Gainesboro to Charlotte Part two Charlotte to the coast: Nightime Microphysics:
  7. 2 deaths confirmed by MoCo EMS. Sounds like in the Deer Lodge area, but not sure.
  8. Hopefully that’s all you get. Meanwhile the cell in Sevier county is getting a hook.
  9. Looks like the main storm's couplet is trying to reorganize, and heading toward the Powell area.
  10. That foreground valley in the landscape picture I posted above is pretty close to where that last couplet passed
  11. Passed by, just a little wind, but I suspect the couplet passed juuusssttt to my north.
  12. This will give y'all some idea of the terrain it is dealing with now: Vertical arrow is pointing at the valley that has the prison, and the horizontal arrow is approximate track, WNW --> ESE
  13. No, it was probably about 10 minutes NE of me.
  14. Looks like the circulation is passing really close to the prison near Frozen Head.
  15. A gif of the couplet from earlier: Most recent: Frozen Head has some peaks above 3000' so that may do a number on it.
  16. Lots of lightning to my north. Wind echoing down from the mountains nearby.
  17. Northern cell (Fentress) is going to get pretty close to Sunbright. If I had to pick a location I’d say a bit south of the main town.
  18. That one is on a trajectory closer to my location, joy.
  19. It’s getting close to being on some pretty flat land on that part of the plateau. If it survives to southern Fentress county it’ll probably make it to the Frozen Head area.
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