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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Maybe this is a weenie wish casting thing, but maybe it is initializing with somewhat warmer temps than expected. In this particular case the Arctic air is on the doorstep of the valley and it is currently trying to work in. The moisture isn't here yet, so there's still time. It's not like we have 2 hours of precip left right now.
  2. It's already got a foot north of Crossville by 21z Monday
  3. You've even got a bit of downslope off the Crab Orchard mts indicated there.
  4. The elk scared the ______ out of me one cold morning. It was just before Christmas. At first I thought some idiot had bought one in for a joke, but apparently he decided to come down from the Frozen Head/ Cross Mt area and he just chills out off of Fairview road between Coalfield and Mossy Grove.
  5. You know, we have an elk who has decided to live about 2 miles from my house. Maybe he knew something.
  6. I remember seeing some of that in Jan 96. had a layer of ice in the middle of 16 inches of snow.
  7. This is my first system here where I am almost directly up wind of Frozen Head and Cross mt. I'm wondering how it plays out if that lift sets up just right
  8. Maybe, wrt to precip outputs, the model thinks moisture isn't quite making it into the DGZ. I clicked on a sounding on the HRRR in that ZR and it was 10 degrees and sub freezing through the whole profile.
  9. Twere a good un: I trie to make a trend gif, but weatherbell doesn't go back to the 6z that ran out that far
  10. Nice satellite imagery this AM, good Gulf moisture fetch as teh cold from makes its way through TN and KY:
  11. If this works out Greyhound, you have to put that snowman jack-o-lantern thingy up every year.
  12. RGEM with special effects: Thanks for all the updates overnight for my sleepy butt.
  13. Maybe we need to consult @Greyhounds snowman jack-o-lantern model
  14. NAM is so amped it is trying for a gulf low late in the run. Mini miller A
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