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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. midatlanticweather
    Currently a warm 48 with a dp of 16. Dry out there but warm
  2. midatlanticweather
    This seems to have really shifted. The two maxes still show up. The southern max has come up to just north of DC and the other max is now in Central PA. If we had not started so far south this would have been worse for many! This shift is sad for many in the southern part of the forum. Maybe it will expand a bit south. 2 to 4/3 to 5 inch seems the best we get with some local lucky folks. Get a little elevation, you may see more. I hope the shifts north and drier trends stop!
  3. midatlanticweather
    I look at precip output VS. type on theae models. Looking for trends and not exact amounts is the way I treat them.
  4. midatlanticweather
    Always stay cautious until you see the snow falling. Never doubt that things can change even when models look good. Any step back from respected models deserves pause. Not saying it is true, but, when in a range of possibilities, you want to be the upper range on models and not the lower ones. Just sayin'
  5. midatlanticweather
  6. midatlanticweather
    That looks nice for MBY
  7. midatlanticweather
    HRRR and RAP give me pause with the northward look. I hope we do not see this slip too far north!
  8. midatlanticweather
    With the NAM.. my guess is that Blue Ridge parts of the area will get the warning levels. It may be the same elsewhere. If it were a weekday and not the weekend tomorrow, I would think it would be a more widespread warning due to commute impacts. Just me rambling. This looks nice. Loving the FGEN! I would love some thunder. Thinking I take a nap this afternoon so I can be up late!
  9. midatlanticweather
  10. midatlanticweather
    Oh man! Brutal @Ji - Everyone around Leesburg will get 2 to 3 inches.... but Leesburg gets just 1 to2! LOL!
  11. midatlanticweather
    West to east moving systems with dry airmasses get that down sloping dryness! Systems like this then get more moisture as they reached the coast, but the leeward side miss some of the goods! Feels that way many times even in summer, unless the airmass is juicy, storms kind of split for me out here SW of Purcellville. The January 2 snow events did the same for me. Anyways.. ranting about MBY sitting at about 2 inches of snow less from the January storms but getting over an inch yesterday is kind of foolish!
  12. midatlanticweather
    This addiction to white powder can be expensive.
  13. midatlanticweather
    When JB Talks... Weenies listen.
  14. midatlanticweather
    1.7 inches on the cars. About 1.3 on the deck. I am going with 1.3 for this event. Was beautiful coming down. It has come to an end here in Purcellville.
  15. midatlanticweather
    Snowing well in Purcellvillle. It was even heavier about 20 minutes ago. Ground is white and the roads have a little slush. Beautiful.. But I am out of the yellow radar bands already.
  16. midatlanticweather
    ^try Kuchera and I would still think overdone. Also... HRRRRRRRRRRRR is always a bit pumped! We got Hrrrrrred
  17. midatlanticweather
    What the heck is this graphic?
  18. midatlanticweather
    The salivating Loudoun Crew.
  19. midatlanticweather
  20. midatlanticweather
    I want to believe, but think this will be the picture early next week! Shoot, this may be too much precipitation as well.
  21. midatlanticweather
    You made a classic blunder. The first and most important is to never start a land war in Asia. The second, somewhat less known but equally as important, is never trust weather models showing snow in the Mid Atlantic until you see it on radar at your doorstep or out your window.
  22. midatlanticweather
    Hahaha! Bizarre Pivotal snow map!
  23. midatlanticweather
    Chasing pattern changes has been a tiring process several years in a row. I am impressed with the persistence of some people doing so. I have grown weary and keep wondering if it is all an illusion. I think next week will be rain. I am not counting on anything more than cold liquid. I hope the changes that are supposed to happen after it are real and matter. It seems like a cold dry pattern to me. Thanks for the work people
  24. midatlanticweather
    This has been a great year for beautiful long-range model lies! In all seriousness, I hope we see some consistency and things hold. Once we started kicking the can, it seems to have stuck!
  25. midatlanticweather
    This winter is like Groundhog day for the last several years! We look in the future, get excited, and then get a gut punch or below the belt. Lame! Need to break the curse!
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