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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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It did have something, the deepening low was just farther north than this latest run.
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It's insane to run the GFS out to 384 hours. I don't trust any operational beyond 72.
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30 and overcast. Not expecting much from this, .5-1 inch with some sleet and ZR. Hoping NAM is on to something tomorrow night as that seems a little more robust. It's been really consistent with it.
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CMC had a similar evolution at 12z although a little further west.
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And possibly HV. 27 right now.
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I'm talking about before that storm. First 2 weeks of December there were some saying the fat lady was about to sing. I understand this winter not be anywhere near last winter's total but I do expect several snow chances. Last years D-J-F temps were above normal also but we managed some decent amounts. The average December snowfall in NYC is about 4 inches with less than a 25% chance of a White Christmas so it's not that great a month for snow anyway although this one has been very warm. Hopefully things get better next month.
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Many people were throwing in the towel last December as well. I wound up with 60 inches, over 30 in February.
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The next time I trust any operational beyond 5 days will be the first, especially the GFS.
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This is a good point. Next 5 nights are forecast to be well below freezing at night up by me so that should help.
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63 today, expecting a mix up here on Saturday.
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That's nuts that they are still blooming on Dec 15th. Haven't see that in a while up here in mid HV. Last night had a low of 22 and still only 35 right now. Has central park hit freezing yet?
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Picked up .5 inch of snow last night with a low of 23. 36 for a high today.
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It's like night and day from where I live in the MHV to NYC metro and it's only about 75-80 miles to Manhattan. No leaves, already had a little snow last weekend, and it's gone down to 20* a few nights. Has Central Park hit freezing yet?
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No. Top winds were 150 officially so it never made it to Cat 5.
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I can't believe this thread is so quiet. Another 3+ inches in the area in a short amount of time to cause some flooding problems especially with what has fallen recently.
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Well then it's playing tricks on a lot of people because it seems to be moving nw to me also. If you say so. It looks like it slowed down and hasn't made much northward movement.
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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
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