RevWarReenactor

But in this pattern the storms trend washed out and stay that way. I actually think this is not a pattern that will produce anything and am ready for a change.

Potential is there; concerns me that we’ve struck out twice now in this pattern. Models are loving last minute changes and timing “has to be perfect”. No blocking etc. Would actually welcome a pattern change come Feb if ground is still bare. By then it would be clear that This one wouldn’t have worked for us. Unless you like high heating bills. But willing to give it time.

If it is a miss here; Id prefer a NE hit over a southern slider. I’d rather chase to an area that can give me snow on snow; like upstate NY vs NC.

I think I saw a couple flakes that melted on contact. Precip ending. I prefer to remember the good times. Like 3 days ago when we where looking at a 1-3 inch appetizer today followed by a possible big storm this weekend. That was awesome.

So true. I detached from it all in early 2020 and I feel 1000 times better. It was so so unhealthy. All the anger, negativity, etc. Anxiety, high blood pressure. Feelings of being totally out of control. You can just bathe in it and be totally miserable and waste your life away. But I found it is possible to control my thoughts and emotions and control what I allow into my life. Its still possible to love snow without having it completely consume you to the point of it being unhealthy. In the end Wxtrix wasn't wrong. Scramble your password and never come back. It worked.

These trends have me a bit concerned, I mean suppression to rain and it only took 12 hours? Whats next? DT said the GFS is wrong with its inland track. I wonder what he thought of the EURO.....LOL

On the HRRR the WAA is angled in a way where it snows in NH before it snows in DC. Not a great sign. See that before and it doesn't end well. By the time its in the I-95 corridor, its weak, and the coastal has taken over giving Coastal southern Del and Coastal NJ the snow leaving a hole. Its very plausible. I'm thinking 1-2 for I-95, anything else would be a bonus.

NWS is all on board with the last minute GFS runs. I don't buy it. Euro makes more sense with how these usually pan out.

Yeah, we've seen this story plenty of times. Out west does good and that precip dries up as it heads over the mountains. The coastal forms and congrats Coastal NJ. Everyone in between, naso good. Still I'll gladly take an inch of powder that covers the streets vs the 4 inches we got with the last system that was grassy surfaces only.

You're right. Thank you.

Um, if I recall, PSU wanted to have the debate too. But you think you can bully me?

Don't talk to me like that.

Okay, fair enough. I can't argue too much with this map. But there are some errors on it that help your case and hinder mine. Its just the little details. I don't believe you can hit Philly and travel essentially due east all the way to the ocean and maintain the same averages. Same goes for Wilmington and going due east to the Ocean. You are downplaying the effect the ocean has on totals in those areas. Granted, once 15-20 miles inland, it becomes less of an issue. But believe me, I lived in Monmouth County for 30+ years, and that Ocean was a killer compared to just another 10-20 miles inland. But when you go in 20 miles, thats half of the county. So I'd take that 20 inch line, and 25 inch line and eek them up the coast a bit. Which, hate to say it, is more in line with my thinking. There is simply no way Pt Pleasant NJ, does as well as SE PA and way western hilly burbs of DC. So its kind of slipping hairs. Certainly I-95 south of the DMB has had terrible luck this year.

I could go on forever addressing this post and the other, but It would be banter. I don't get jealous of North NJ snowfall because I understand its a different climate up there,The area outlined should be a jealously zone because generally speaking they get the same amount give or take 5 inches. But lately, it is extremely lopsided, its like a different climate up there this year. This year the northeast end of that is at 40 inches, the southern end is at, a few? Is it bad luck? Or is something happening down here?

Historically. Yes. Last few years. Definitely no. Which has created a perception.

All snow. Now the warm nose decides to disappear. Makes sense.

Awesome more sleet here in Newark. Not a flake of snow. But somehow it snowed in San Antonio last night. What a year.

Yeah, Good summary of the fail.

Thanks! Good to talk to you. Maybe we've had the snow climo discussion before ;-) So I guess I am just not right about that. I am not sure why I thought it was similar. Maybe living in Mon County in 2010 and watching DC colored my perception.

It didn't seem like a banding issue to me. This was all directed straight up I-95, and yes, its sleet, but its pretty juicy. Meanwhile this same band hit up in Mon County, and spots there are reporting 9 inches of fresh snow tonight. They have the same climo as down here basically. So they have 40 inches on the year, and here we have about 6 inches? That to me is just awful luck. That 40 inches on the season represents to me what DC/Baltimore could have had this year had things "gone a little different".

I am so glad I don't do this to myself anymore. Not going to lie though I had a moment. Just a short one right now. But really you can't make it up. Just unbelievable bad luck we've had. At some point this bad luck has to end, right? Please PSU, make it stop?

LOL. Doing well thanks. I can no longer post for mental health reasons (without getting too offtopic) Just decided to do a quick pop in. Hope all is well with you!

IF the Euro is correct. The I-95 corridor from Baltimore up to Wilmington has been getting absolutely boned this year. I feel your pain. Snow to the south, snow to the north, snow to the east, snow to the west. But I still have hope. If you don't have hope what do you got?

Okay, thanks. I definitely don't get the full effects of either bay. During one of March metlathons in 2018, Havre De Grace had nothing but white rain, and as I drove northeast up route 40 to my house, we managed 2-3 inches from the same storm. It was completely a bay related issue in HDG.

Thanks. Thats right where I am near that Elkton spot, so thats good to know. I was going to say, I can't imagine the Elk River having that much of an impact....there isn't much to it.