RevWarReenactor
-
Posts
4,196 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by RevWarReenactor
-
Been watching this upcoming storm for Thursday and it’s trending south last two days on the GFS. Chicago was rainy icy and maybe snow and is now almost all snow. Syracuse was rain by a 200 mile margin and is now flirting with ice. So maybe that Feb 25th event has some room to come south? It would have to be a decent sized adjustment; but maybe? Looks like our first “window of opportunity. “
-
I get what your saying. I don’t think street measurements should be taken. But in the flip side It’s still a remarkable run. Especially when I get Facebook memories like this one…
-
March 2018 was like 3-4 inches on the grass for me. No street accumulation. I remember it’s snowing like crazy but it was melting just as fast. it’s hard to believe my streets have literally not been plowed since blizzard of 2016 with plowing criteria being 4 inches. It’s a pretty remarkable run.
-
Coming down now. But it’s white rain. I do see why the models printed out the 2-4 inches; it’s what it would have been say 4 degrees colder.
-
A wet dusting on the grass. last nights 3k NAM gave me 5 inches. Other models said 2-4. Just another example of why ignoring the models and following climo does you well. my app was right; we never got below freezing.
-
Exactly. Some people claim there is negativity here when it is actually just reality. Still 44 degrees here and only dropping 1 degree an hour. There is already a math problem here.
-
It could be wrong. I don’t know. I hope it is. Will be interesting to see if we are still at 40 at midnight.
-
I’m guessing the gfs?
-
Fwiw my hourly forecast on my app doesn’t have us going below freezing at all during the event. 34 is the min. That is problematic. Singing A very different tune than the NAM is.
-
I-95 special and biggest storm of the year for some if it verified.
-
It’s not that it can’t be 60 one day and snow to stick the next…. it’s that we haven’t done it well recently. I’m thinking back to that January bust where 1-3 inches on the models was a few flakes and we knew by 3am it was a no go when it was still like 45 degrees out. Hopefully this goes differently
-
If we reel something in, and when I say something I mean anything over an inch; have to give kudos to @CAPE
-
Or a professional therapist. I use to be off the wall. I learned to control my emotions with behavior modification. Greatest gift ever. Anyway hope to chase at least one before the year is over if we don’t get anything here.
-
To this day I don’t understand why people post kuchara maps.
-
Psu is already in his “big storm only” mode. Which doesn’t usually happen till late Feb or early March? Now I know things are perhaps winding down early this year…;-)
-
You guys are getting kind of hosed up there. I got 1. 8 inches on the Jan 3rd storm, but made up for it with the coastal. NW areas got neither.
-
Give me a Spring fever Saturday, a 1-3 inch Super Bowl appetizer, and a foot or more chase within 6 hours of here; and I will call this a good winter.
-
Isn't that kind of the storm we just had? One of the L's rides the front but this time the front is further south. Yeah, I am sure that will work.
-
In other news; 60 on Saturday?! That will probably feel hot to us. I’m looking forward to the spring fever.
-
Is it lack of optimism or just what climo dictates? Honestly I am surprised we've even stayed in an okay pattern this long. No SE ridge or torch most of January? Like how rare is that?
-
Again; if you have both a temp and precip issue; unlikely. fwiw DT said we have a window around v day. After that probably SE ridge stuffs. Bad nao, pna, ao etc.
-
It is kind of funny how the very last bit of precip is just enough for a couple of pity flakes.
-
This is reminding me a lot of last winter. Kind of average to just below average winter with the potential to be a lot more. Not an ideal pattern but also not a shutout pattern….a lot of close calls and much failure as we watch a good portion of the country cash in.
-
I have a very non scientific rule. Two basic things needed for snow: temps and precip. If one is a lock it’s okay to root for the other. When both are a concern; move along. Tuesdays event falls under that category where both things need to break right. Unlikely
-
It kind of looks like rain though…. Doesn’t it?
