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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    That's caused also because of the lack of precip less then 1/2 inch - this GFS precip map is not accurate with a 983 just off the coast
  2. NEG NAO
    this is cold enough
  3. NEG NAO
    I doubt next weekends storm is going to be a cutter
  4. NEG NAO
    the best place for the MJO is the COD in this type of pattern if you want an east coast snowstorm...……...
  5. NEG NAO
    here is the 12Z ICON - timing is faster and weaker but still basically the same track as the GFS and CMC
  6. NEG NAO
    Waiting on the EURO - Dr. NO....
  7. NEG NAO
  8. NEG NAO
    SUPERBOWL 2020 Blizzard ? - we have Boxing Day Blizzard - 2 President Day Blizzards - time for a Superbowl Blizzard
  9. NEG NAO
    late afternoon around 3 - 4
  10. NEG NAO
    I agree - will be more precip then currently shown on this model run with that LP in that position and strength - still not individual storm thread worthy IMO - have to see this type of solution keep repeating itself the next 2 days IMO GFS was locked into the same solution for a week prior to last weekends event
  11. NEG NAO
    also with the Euro continuing to stay well off the coast chances are this will not cut west of us - more then likely a close to Benchmark track BUT that positioning of HP to the north with the cold enough air flowing in is the key ingredient...……..a negative NAO would help quite a bit to keep HP with the cold air from escaping too fast
  12. NEG NAO
    also with the Euro continuing to stay well off the coast chances are this will not cut west of us - more then likely a close to Benchmark track BUT that positioning of HP to the north with the cold enough air flowing in is the key ingredient...……..a negative NAO would help quite a bit to keep HP with the cold air from escaping too fast
  13. NEG NAO
    WPC has precip here next weekend at least
  14. NEG NAO
    as I posted in the mid and long range forum a few minutes ago - models all over the place for next weekends potential coastal - each run of each model is different.Typical of a pattern change approaching.
  15. NEG NAO
    To continue on - since everyone's sleeping the 0Z Canadian has a 3rd option - the syem with the colder air is racing across the upper Midwest and forces the coastal LP too far off shore
  16. NEG NAO
    06Z GFS - Benchmark track where in most winters at the very beginning of Feb would be a MECS at least with cold air in the vicinity BUT this winter ? Anyone's guess
  17. NEG NAO
    last nights 0Z EURO was a complete miss to the right - models really struggling with the upcoming pattern change - while 0Z GFS is inland of the coast and all rain here
  18. NEG NAO
    Lets stop arguing and listen to MT. Holly : SATURDAY AND BEYOND. A STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO APPROACH (POSSIBLY TAKING THE FORM OF A COASTAL LOW) NEXT WEEKEND BUT DETAILS REGARDING THE TRACK AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION AND THERMAL FIELDS ARE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME. LEFT POPS IN THE CHC.RANGE DUE TO TIMING UNCERTAINTIES.
  19. NEG NAO
  20. NEG NAO
    its ending already in far southern nj moving fast
  21. NEG NAO
    good if it was a big hit this far out it probably wouldn't verify
  22. NEG NAO
    WPC has next weekends coastal with a HP in a favorable position to the north
  23. NEG NAO
    you're welcome
  24. NEG NAO
  25. NEG NAO
    NAO is forecasted to go slightly negative the end of next week - strong high pressure will be locked in to the northeast prior to the Feb 1 storm how this affects next weekends coastal still has to be determined
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