NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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Its called leaving the door open to lesser amounts then some of Mondays models are advertising - a lot of people here are setting themselves up for major disappointment because of 1 days worth runs showing heavy amounts with 4 days still to go ........
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IMO we shouldn't expect much more then this at this point considering what this winter has delivered so far.....
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which would eliminate any chance of mixing..........
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still 5 days to go - thats a long long time in the modeling world....
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where is the rain/snow line ? looks similar to GFS almost benchmark track..
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yes as long as it doesn't come any further west - right now its a benchmark track
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v
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if Canadian shows what it did at 12Z chances improve significantly IMO
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so close yet so far away
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The thing that bothers me the most about this weekend potential whatever is that Walt doesn't seem to be on board here in this thread in more ways than 1......
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because of what majority of guidance is currently advertising - so you must think we are getting a snowstorm next weekend.........
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agree 100%
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The joker in the deck is what it is
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Canadian offshore 0Z
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you have been saying this storm after storm since November - look at other guidance and you will see how unfavorable the pattern really is - fast flow - no phasing - suppression all combined....
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But I wouldn't be surprised if this is close to what verifies
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Why don't you provide something else to prove it........
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really looking better at 18Z -
then which ensemble would you choose that you think will verify -they are spread out all over the place - the mean ?
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hope you are correct - but favoring the GFS solution which delays whatever potential till at least Sunday
