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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    More METS in that forum and some seasoned winter weather experts - Typhoon Tip etc.etc. - anyways ICON has no phase and a weaker system sliding offshore south of us
  2. NEG NAO
    Euro has the phase happening too far off shore
  3. NEG NAO
    Canadian still has the 993 lp phasing and close enough and snow for Northern NJ as HP builds in southern Canada - the GFS still has nothing as its cold bias is keeping the storm well out to sea GFS might correct in the coming days waiting for the EURO
  4. NEG NAO
  5. NEG NAO
    I would be careful predicting 3 - 5 degrees above normal for March IMO especially if EPO goes negative as forecasted.............
  6. NEG NAO
    Utterly ridiculous - FIX THE MODEL PLEASE !
  7. NEG NAO
    Do they have any plans to work on the model to correct the cold bias ?
  8. NEG NAO
    the other than list - I would add a few names to that - BUT I think we have enough qualified METS and other weather enthusiasts on this board to determine if March will deliver any snowstorm threats ………………..
  9. NEG NAO
    Next weeks Euro storm doesn't exist on the 12Z GFS but I thought I would post this nonsense for entertainment purposes ONLY !
  10. NEG NAO
    Not according to the Euro to start the event - and the changeover the Euro shows as the storm moves slowly offshore and changes the precip to snow as colder air is drawn in - well - good luck with that IMO.
  11. NEG NAO
  12. NEG NAO
    Lets see how long this teaser on the 6Z GFS is going to last then right behind another one
  13. NEG NAO
  14. NEG NAO
    lower right hand side - Best Guess SNOW
  15. NEG NAO
    Not to be critical of Don or anyone else - the above post is one reason why you have to keep all of the solutions for late next week on the table. Both the Euro and GFS were showing this weeks southern snow event almost a week ago - then they lost it -then within the last couple of days its back and will likely verify in some areas. Keep everything on the table !
  16. NEG NAO
    then why this ? Like I said previously the system at this strength 991 will bring the cold enough air down to the lower levels - the surface will be slightly warmer but the intensity of the snow could still cause accumulations and eventually even the surface will keep cooling that's why the EURO shows this - its probably not going to verify exactly like this though
  17. NEG NAO
    whats so crappy about this airmass ?
  18. NEG NAO
    Euro has the LP close to the GFS position BUT stronger 991vs 997 - thus more frozen
  19. NEG NAO
    I tend to to disagree with that with the NAO trending negative around that time
  20. NEG NAO
    Stacked Low if it gets strong enough could generate enough cold air to get a changeover but 997 won't do it
  21. NEG NAO
    so does GFS
  22. NEG NAO
    isn't there a vendor thread ?????? Could care less what JB or this whatever ….. has to say or any of the other for hire talking heads...….
  23. NEG NAO
    The all time March Snowfall record in NYC was March 1896 - through Feb. NYC had a total of 12.8 inches then in March they had 30.5 inches and in April 3.0 inches ending up with much above avg. snowfall for the season - that March featured this http://wintercenter.homestead.com/photomarch1896.html
  24. NEG NAO
    southeast ridge will be moving away end of month and EPO goes Negative --chances are increasing for a favorable period last few days of month into 1st week of March -BUT we have been fooled before
  25. NEG NAO
    No Don - Euro had this idea too
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