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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
  2. NEG NAO
    0Z Ukie
  3. NEG NAO
    at this range you want the GFS to be the furthest east just showing its bias ……..CMC has been the most consistent with the storm- this is a classic Miller A
  4. NEG NAO
    I would be careful predicting 3 - 5 degrees above normal for March IMO especially if EPO goes negative as forecasted.............
  5. NEG NAO
    southeast ridge will be moving away end of month and EPO goes Negative --chances are increasing for a favorable period last few days of month into 1st week of March -BUT we have been fooled before
  6. NEG NAO
    why has the mid - long range thread turned into the banter thread with all the baseball posts ?
  7. NEG NAO
    this winter fits in perfectly with NYC climatology - it is normal to have a wide range of total snowfall amounts for any given year as evidenced here: https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf
  8. NEG NAO
    you can't trust him anymore because when he made his video canceling winter the rest of the way he backed himself into a corner - also I can't understand why anyone would pay money for his forecasts and insight when there are so many free and better forecasters out there...………...
  9. NEG NAO
    this is upside down compared to the 12Z NAM and 12Z ICON which has all the heavier amounts in southern NJ
  10. NEG NAO
    I just re - discovered the vendor thread so we can get all the conversations about what the paid vendors are talking about out of the main threads ………….lets see how many can follow directions around here
  11. NEG NAO
    Joe Bastardi‏Verified account @BigJoeBastardi 2h2 hours ago More Feel GFS feedback problem is jumping storm out to sea too much IMO, Almost every major NYC storm in past 25 years has been out to sea on the GFS 4 days before. Maybe this is GFS coup, but the feedback fairy likely causing problems, so expect model to correct west
  12. NEG NAO
    NY NJ PA Weather‏Verified account @nynjpaweather 3h3 hours ago More A potential winter storm is brewing for next weekend with heavy snow a threat for Saturday into Sunday morning. Details on the way! https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
  13. NEG NAO
    These models have been playing catch - up for a while the actual result for December will show the central and east as a wide chunk of real estate below to well below normal as the blocking takes hold in an almost perfect position for a few weeks at least - this cold outbreak could rival 2013 - 2010 and 1989....
  14. NEG NAO
    I fell off the potty.............
  15. NEG NAO
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  17. NEG NAO
    Bernie is going for 6 -12 in NYC http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/expert-forecasts/snowstorm-tuesday-snow-amounts-over-2-feet/f4bzi5yte6o0cnlleinxd2ssq527igk4
  18. NEG NAO
    I think at this range its a good idea to have 12 - 24 because of all the uncertainties regarding banding and possible mixing in some areas..........
  19. NEG NAO
    The prime example regarding models and short range surprises is the January 7th storm which forecasters had to increase amounts and issue upgraded warnings during the storm - don't be surprised if that happens again at some point the remainder of the winter...........
  20. NEG NAO
    Bernie Rayno A.M. update 1/4 http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/late-week-snowstorm/2430839568001
  21. NEG NAO
    Joe Cioffi says around an inch Thursday Nights and Saturdays https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi/?pnref=lhc
  22. NEG NAO
    exactly - and after his "December to Remember"
  23. NEG NAO
    JB in his public daily summary says UKMET will verify phasing will occur = East Coast Blizzard This Weekend http://www.weatherbell.com/premium
  24. NEG NAO
    no 90's in site as this stubborn pattern continues with a blocked trough in the northeast preventing the heat ridge from expanding into our area http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif
  25. NEG NAO
    doesn't look like we will reach 90 - this mornings GFS once again keeps temps well below 90 for a couple weeks . First we have to break out of this pattern we are in with troughing in the northeast http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr you can really see what is going on with this loop http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850&region=us&t=l
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