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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    WPC has some precip mid - late week
  2. NEG NAO
    Even the 12Z is similar to GFS - GEM - GEFS trending north
  3. NEG NAO
    Euro - UKIE somewhat similar
  4. NEG NAO
    12Z GEFS is trending north
  5. NEG NAO
    different then other OP 12Z models
  6. NEG NAO
    has same general idea totals don't matter yet - lets see if suppressed EURO trends towards the others - the pattern doesn't support the suppressed idea IMO
  7. NEG NAO
    12Z GEM onboard
  8. NEG NAO
    has nothing for immediate NYC metro
  9. NEG NAO
    really ? please explain with some graphics from models
  10. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro forget about weekend snowstorm
  11. NEG NAO
    this will end up being mostly liquid for the immediate NYC metro - the Euro fantasy Sunday MECS - will it show the same solution at 12Z ? Good Luck - most indicies unfavorable - pesky southeast ridge etc. etc.
  12. NEG NAO
    I have no idea - do you ? But chances are it might not be pretty...…...especially if that stubborn SE ridge stays put.....
  13. NEG NAO
    best outcome for us is if the MJO skedaddles into the COD and stays there for 2 months - let the -EPO and -WPO take control
  14. NEG NAO
    I'll believe this when I actually can measure it proof is in the pudding
  15. NEG NAO
    I didn't create this list - Joe Rao did - I will mention it too him next time we talk.
  16. NEG NAO
  17. NEG NAO
    why has the mid - long range thread turned into the banter thread with all the baseball posts ?
  18. NEG NAO
    this winter fits in perfectly with NYC climatology - it is normal to have a wide range of total snowfall amounts for any given year as evidenced here: https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf
  19. NEG NAO
  20. NEG NAO
    EXPLAIN PLEASE - I ASKED WHAT THE ERROR RANGE IS
  21. NEG NAO
    ANYBODY KNOW WHAT THE ERROR RANGE IN MILES IS FOR THE GFS IS AT 72 HOURS ?
  22. NEG NAO
    now the 12 Z NAM shifted south and east
  23. NEG NAO
    longer days - sun angles etc.etc. - BUT SECS and MECS still possible to overcome the obstacles...……...1992 -1993 had even less snow prior to Feb 1 - then 10.7 in Feb and 11.9 in March for NYC
  24. NEG NAO
    a few years ago I would have been encouraged by him saying that - BUT the last few years - NO COMMENT
  25. NEG NAO
    this is interesting even though its still beyond the NAM more accurate range of < 60 hours
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