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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO
  2. NEG NAO
  3. NEG NAO
    12 Z GEM for next weeks system
  4. NEG NAO
    12Z GEM same as GFS out to sea but notice next weeks system starting to develop out west
  5. NEG NAO
    it might be to our advantage if the week end system gets out of the way to the east and the vort in southeast Canada has time to move out of the way and allow HP to settle into southern Canada feeding in colder air prior to next week system
  6. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS is a big hit for next week
  7. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS once again is a miss because of the vort lobe that cuts off in eastern Canada and moves south towards NE blocking this out to sea south of us - no sense in even tracking this for now until things change - lets see if most the other guidance agrees at 12Z
  8. NEG NAO
    yesterdays system was a prime example IMO of a system that needed to be nowcasted IMO - I was just using various radars -I didn't use any of the mesoscale models since people were complaining about them yesterday and I had plenty of notice in advance of what probably would happen in my area just using the radars........
  9. NEG NAO
    0Z GEM
  10. NEG NAO
    0Z GFSv16
  11. NEG NAO
    0z GFS
  12. NEG NAO
    remained a disorganized mess and was basically a minor event here in central NJ............on to next weekends potential
  13. NEG NAO
    The Ukie is closer to the coast
  14. NEG NAO
    yeah BUT how are you going to get rid of that little vort near Maine that is suppressing next weekends coastal ?
  15. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS
  16. NEG NAO
    12Z GEFS
  17. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO
  18. NEG NAO
    IMO the main problem with this system looking at radars is that it is just one disorganized mess right now yes there is precip in central PA but it is broken up and moving mainly northeast - as some have mentioned some of the models have not performed well with this system - how many times in the past have we been fooled by the models when a system is in progress ? Nowcasting time IMO just using radars - they will give us plenty of advanced notice of any trends developing........
  19. NEG NAO
    12Z GFSv16
  20. NEG NAO
    12Z GEM
  21. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS
  22. NEG NAO
    this is now casting time - radars are the best tools right now IMO
  23. NEG NAO
    now the big questions are -1. Will there be an organized second batch and when ? 2. Where does the snow/ice/rain line set up ? right now the radars don't show any real second organized batch coming this way anytime soon...
  24. NEG NAO
    this first batch is almost over here in NJ - what comes after this ? radar is empty
  25. NEG NAO
    Mix of Sleet and Snow 34 F now the rain- snow line cutting through Staten Island and points west and south - nobody else going to post OBS here ?
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