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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
  2. NEG NAO
    you can't trust him anymore because when he made his video canceling winter the rest of the way he backed himself into a corner - also I can't understand why anyone would pay money for his forecasts and insight when there are so many free and better forecasters out there...………...
  3. NEG NAO
    this is upside down compared to the 12Z NAM and 12Z ICON which has all the heavier amounts in southern NJ
  4. NEG NAO
    I just re - discovered the vendor thread so we can get all the conversations about what the paid vendors are talking about out of the main threads ………….lets see how many can follow directions around here
  5. NEG NAO
    Joe Bastardi‏Verified account @BigJoeBastardi 2h2 hours ago More Feel GFS feedback problem is jumping storm out to sea too much IMO, Almost every major NYC storm in past 25 years has been out to sea on the GFS 4 days before. Maybe this is GFS coup, but the feedback fairy likely causing problems, so expect model to correct west
  6. NEG NAO
    NY NJ PA Weather‏Verified account @nynjpaweather 3h3 hours ago More A potential winter storm is brewing for next weekend with heavy snow a threat for Saturday into Sunday morning. Details on the way! https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
  7. NEG NAO
    These models have been playing catch - up for a while the actual result for December will show the central and east as a wide chunk of real estate below to well below normal as the blocking takes hold in an almost perfect position for a few weeks at least - this cold outbreak could rival 2013 - 2010 and 1989....
  8. NEG NAO
    I fell off the potty.............
  9. NEG NAO
  10. NEG NAO
  11. NEG NAO
    Bernie is going for 6 -12 in NYC http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/expert-forecasts/snowstorm-tuesday-snow-amounts-over-2-feet/f4bzi5yte6o0cnlleinxd2ssq527igk4
  12. NEG NAO
    I think at this range its a good idea to have 12 - 24 because of all the uncertainties regarding banding and possible mixing in some areas..........
  13. NEG NAO
    The prime example regarding models and short range surprises is the January 7th storm which forecasters had to increase amounts and issue upgraded warnings during the storm - don't be surprised if that happens again at some point the remainder of the winter...........
  14. NEG NAO
    Bernie Rayno A.M. update 1/4 http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/late-week-snowstorm/2430839568001
  15. NEG NAO
    Joe Cioffi says around an inch Thursday Nights and Saturdays https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi/?pnref=lhc
  16. NEG NAO
    exactly - and after his "December to Remember"
  17. NEG NAO
    JB in his public daily summary says UKMET will verify phasing will occur = East Coast Blizzard This Weekend http://www.weatherbell.com/premium
  18. NEG NAO
    no 90's in site as this stubborn pattern continues with a blocked trough in the northeast preventing the heat ridge from expanding into our area http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif
  19. NEG NAO
    doesn't look like we will reach 90 - this mornings GFS once again keeps temps well below 90 for a couple weeks . First we have to break out of this pattern we are in with troughing in the northeast http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr you can really see what is going on with this loop http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850&region=us&t=l
  20. NEG NAO
    Looks like we will not have any 90 degree days in May this year - http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Also if we have a cooler summer we can avoid the increasing chances of electrical blackouts - we almost had a widespread one this past winter http://news.heartland.org/editorial/2014/04/24/americas-power-grid-limit-road-electrical-blackouts#.U12DVSeXduc.twitter
  21. NEG NAO
    Becoming more and more likely that we will not see our first 90 degree day in the metro until after Memorial Day which is the 26th this year. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr
  22. NEG NAO
    EWR: 14 NYC :12 LGA : 13 JFK : 11 here in the northern mid atlantic - IMO we will be well north of the heat ridge which will only poke into our area for brief periods from early June through late August - we will also have the "ring of fire" visit us form time to time being north of the high pressure ridge with some decent storms followed by cooler air and then in mid August the tropics start to get active with above normal precip here August through September.
  23. NEG NAO
    looks like the heat wave will extend through at least Saturday - 7 days of 90's this week bringing the total to 20 for the season at Newark - only will need 4 to tie 2012 by July 31 - looks like July will end up being well above normal again ...........
  24. NEG NAO
    corrected - happy now ?
  25. NEG NAO
    we should add about 6 more 90 degree days this coming week - Sun - thru Fri -which would bring the total for the year to 19 at Newark still less then last year thru July 19. The total at Newark in 2012 thru July was 24 ......
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