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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    12z CMC showing something similar
  2. NEG NAO
    better then nothing and you don't know if it could possibly end up wetter then progged - still early - I still don't totally buy into this long term dry cold scenerio advertised by some models.........
  3. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO offers some hope for next week
  4. NEG NAO
    a better question would be IMO - When was the last time the park failed to hit freezing for a high temp in a January ?
  5. NEG NAO
    How long do you actually believe the cold and dry pattern will last with next to nothing in precip ?
  6. NEG NAO
    define "US" please
  7. NEG NAO
    Also remember 2009-2010 ? That's easy to check out what the mood was around here in January which only had a couple inches after a 12.4 inch December and then February turned out to be historic with 36.9 inches.
  8. NEG NAO
    unusual yes BUT IMO we still don't know how much snowfall we will have the rest of the season - impossible to predict - also check out what happened in 1933-34
  9. NEG NAO
    no kidding - the way he worded made it sound like he was saying FEBRUARY would not have any snow........and March and April don't matter
  10. NEG NAO
    1932 had only 5.3 inches snow for the season - 2002 had even less then that BUT 2013 had 12.2 in Feb and 7.3 snow in March at NYC - so far 10.5 in 2021
  11. NEG NAO
    Until a couple runs of the models bring hope back............--you are basing that declaration on model runs past 5 days which practically everyone is critical of around here .............
  12. NEG NAO
    apparently you don't know when Meteorological Winter Ends............
  13. NEG NAO
    its not mostly rain on that euro run FYI
  14. NEG NAO
    its a light to moderate event 3 - 4 inches and probably turns to sleet and drizzle before ending
  15. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO offers some hope for a light to possibly moderate event around the Metro late next week - this is the model to monitor it has shown this or something similar recently and fits the advertised pattern coming up
  16. NEG NAO
    you are talking close to 275 hours away - IMO ignore for now....... Any event prior to then has the same old borderline cold airmass in place for any precip that does arrive - nothing happening on the 12Z runs so far that is thread worthy..........
  17. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO 1/21 Storm
  18. NEG NAO
    19710107.... 0.0 ?? ........ these are the only ones ? Which years had the same -EPO-PNA-AO and had none ?
  19. NEG NAO
    Looks like CPC is anticipating a clipper pattern - southern stream is quiet - no miller A's
  20. NEG NAO
    I agree and also creating winter storm threads and trying to determine which areas of the Metro will get what precip amount and type will be a real challenge because right now guidance has been all over the place past 5 days especially.......typical pattern change reaction from most of the models.......so far most guidance is not showing any significant winter threat around most of the metro..around the 20th IMO we will have a better idea how this pattern might play out...
  21. NEG NAO
    The 12Z EURO wants to basically continue the pattern we are in now next week with storms being prevented from riding up the coast -NOT GOOD !
  22. NEG NAO
    Maybe - Maybe NOT look closer many member still on the negative side of the line....
  23. NEG NAO
    Just remember you can still get snow events here if the timing is favorable.........they actually stated "The Winter Will Be Over" ? please post the evidence...
  24. NEG NAO
    CMC also has storm on 22nd BUT borderline cold enough airmass in place according to this
  25. NEG NAO
    Even the 12Z ICON is showing the potential early next week
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