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BNAwx

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Everything posted by BNAwx

  1. BNAwx
    Lawd….
  2. BNAwx
    There’s a reason Nashville has rarely witnessed a 12”+ snowfall. Too far west to get prime snowfall from a Miller A out of the gulf and no elevation to enhance lift. There’s more reasons I’m sure. We’re more likely to get to that total from a well placed upper level low.
  3. BNAwx
    WAAAY too much time left to get attached to any solution. This is about the time models do indeed get wonky with systems or lose them altogether. Any scenario is in the table right now. The only thing I can comfortably say is it’s gonna get chilly.
  4. BNAwx
    Nice ridge popping out west…
  5. BNAwx
    Things to do: Fix the carburetor on my generator before next week….
  6. BNAwx
    Wouldn’t be surprised to see some clipper action pop up on modeling after the passage of the system on the 15th & 16th. That’s some stout cold coming down.
  7. BNAwx
    And if you like dynamic systems, these next couple of weeks will be your jam.
  8. BNAwx
    Doesn’t look like the EPS has that energy diving into the southwest. The GEPS looks like it was TRYING to do the same as the GEFS but doesn’t get there. Like Carvers said, we’re still over 7 days out and who knows exactly how this storm plays out. Fun to watch though…
  9. BNAwx
    I won’t get my hopes up. i won’t get my hopes up. I won’t get my hopes up….
  10. BNAwx
    A positive is that the PV has been taking a beating and hasn’t been able to consolidate. I can live without a true split because they’re like a box of chocolates. Keeping the PV weak and/or elongated will keep things interesting.
  11. BNAwx
    I wonder if the difference with the GEFS is in how it’s handling the MJO progression. How has its MJO verification skill compared to EPS or GEPS?
  12. BNAwx
    1043 highs aren’t what they used to be….
  13. BNAwx
    It hasn’t snowed on the daffodils yet so there’s that….
  14. BNAwx
    I’m a March 15th kind of guy. The 1st 15 days of March are similar to me as the 1st 15 days of December. I’m not likely to get snow during either of those 15 days but I’m still hunting. I’d have to do some digging but I’ve probably seen more snow between March 1st and March 15th than I have December 1st though 15th. Anyway….I “for some odd reason” feel that I haven’t seen the last of Old Man Winter yet.
  15. BNAwx
    LOL! We must be around the same age. I grew up in Cookeville and remember missing school for what seems like weeks on end when I was in kindergarten & 1st grade (those late 70’s winters). I remember January ‘85 especially due to the cold and the January ‘88 storm. I remember being glued to TWC for day’s leading up to March ‘93 and because it was college spring break (glad I didn’t have plans….) 95-‘96 was a banner winter. The only other 90’s event worth noting is the surprise foot of snow we received early February of ‘98.
  16. BNAwx
    So many variables and so much chaos. No wonder long term forecasting is hard. When we think we have it figured out, Mother Nature throws us a knuckle-curve.
  17. BNAwx
    Yes. We started with freezing rain in Nashville that flipped to heavy sleet. After over an inch of sleet, we finally transitioned to and added about 4 inches of snow.
  18. BNAwx
    Starting to feel the February 2021 vibe…
  19. BNAwx
    That ridging into Alaska….
  20. BNAwx
    Outside of March ‘93, February’98 is probably my favorite winter weather event. I lived just north of Cookeville at the time and remember snow mixing with the rain late afternoon and then changing to all snow by dark. An unexpected foot of snow is always nice.
  21. BNAwx
    Yep. The wind is ripping and it’s snowing to beat the band.
  22. BNAwx
    It’s headed in my direction. Should be awesome!
  23. BNAwx
    Snow definitely starting to cover the roads. March is one crazy month.
  24. BNAwx
    Ground turning white. Let the fun begin…
  25. BNAwx
    Someone in the right spot on the Plateau is going to approach a foot with this system.
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