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Everything posted by BNAwx
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
BNAwx replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I won’t get my hopes up. i won’t get my hopes up. I won’t get my hopes up….- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
BNAwx replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
A positive is that the PV has been taking a beating and hasn’t been able to consolidate. I can live without a true split because they’re like a box of chocolates. Keeping the PV weak and/or elongated will keep things interesting.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
BNAwx replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I wonder if the difference with the GEFS is in how it’s handling the MJO progression. How has its MJO verification skill compared to EPS or GEPS?- 1,263 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
1043 highs aren’t what they used to be….- 548 replies
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It hasn’t snowed on the daffodils yet so there’s that….
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I’m a March 15th kind of guy. The 1st 15 days of March are similar to me as the 1st 15 days of December. I’m not likely to get snow during either of those 15 days but I’m still hunting. I’d have to do some digging but I’ve probably seen more snow between March 1st and March 15th than I have December 1st though 15th. Anyway….I “for some odd reason” feel that I haven’t seen the last of Old Man Winter yet.
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LOL! We must be around the same age. I grew up in Cookeville and remember missing school for what seems like weeks on end when I was in kindergarten & 1st grade (those late 70’s winters). I remember January ‘85 especially due to the cold and the January ‘88 storm. I remember being glued to TWC for day’s leading up to March ‘93 and because it was college spring break (glad I didn’t have plans….) 95-‘96 was a banner winter. The only other 90’s event worth noting is the surprise foot of snow we received early February of ‘98.
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So many variables and so much chaos. No wonder long term forecasting is hard. When we think we have it figured out, Mother Nature throws us a knuckle-curve.
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Yes. We started with freezing rain in Nashville that flipped to heavy sleet. After over an inch of sleet, we finally transitioned to and added about 4 inches of snow.
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
BNAwx replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That ridging into Alaska….- 923 replies
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- warm start
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
BNAwx replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Outside of March ‘93, February’98 is probably my favorite winter weather event. I lived just north of Cookeville at the time and remember snow mixing with the rain late afternoon and then changing to all snow by dark. An unexpected foot of snow is always nice.- 923 replies
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March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
BNAwx replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep. The wind is ripping and it’s snowing to beat the band. -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
BNAwx replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
It’s headed in my direction. Should be awesome! -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
BNAwx replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snow definitely starting to cover the roads. March is one crazy month. -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
BNAwx replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ground turning white. Let the fun begin… -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
BNAwx replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Someone in the right spot on the Plateau is going to approach a foot with this system. -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
BNAwx replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Moderate snow here on the Davidson/Wilson Co. line. Elevated surfaces turning white. Just beginning. Heavier returns moving in shortly. -
Dang! Little further west and middle TN might get some fringe action. Not likely but fun to watch. Might have to go visit the in-laws in Greeneville, TN…
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Wound up with a whopping 1/2 inch here on the Davidson/Wilson Co. line. Another degree colder locally through the column and I would have easily seen my 2nd 6+ event this year. Still, I’m sitting at 10” for the season which ain’t bad. Hopefully we’ll all be able to add to our totals the next 2-3 weeks.
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It’s amazing how far south the track of this storm has adjusted in the last couple of days. Regardless of whether or not I see snow IMBY, it’s fun to watch.
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It’s been puking snow here since just before 8am. We’ve picked up 1” in about 45 minutes.
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I haven’t looked at the soundings but is dry air going to be an issue? I hate virga storms....
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If we can hold on to a pattern that offers wintry potential for up to 3 weeks then I’d run with it. No matter which winter you select, “potential” is all you can ask for in the mid-south. I’d love for each winter to be a 1977 or 1978 or even a 1985 but those are pretty rare and we’re not back to those days climatology speaking. For most, 1 decent snowfall changes the perception of the winter as a whole. I’m just happy that we’re entering a stretch where we may have multiple opportunities.