CheeselandSkies

Semi wreck at the Beltline junction has traffic being diverted off NB I-39/90 at WIS-73N/US-51S (was County N earlier). https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0143.html

Story of every weather setup in this region; winter precip or severe, for the last seven years or so.

For us most of that is gonna be from tomorrow's paste job that'll melt in a few days.

It was indeed (speaking as someone who lived about 1/3 mile from the path of the Stoughton F3 at the time). Not looking for it anytime soon but can't sleep on early season setups in this region anymore either (2/28/17, 3/5/22 and 3/15/16 come to mind).

CFS must not be seeing the PV breakdown.

Apparently no one's noticed because all anyone cares about is snow, but there's a marginal risk almost up to I-80 in IL today and another one tomorrow for most of IN/OH/far eastern IL and far S Lower MI. 5% wind contour both days.

This should be a decent camera to monitor during the height of the snowfall.

Winter storm watch also up for Wisconsin counties west and north of Dane.

It should be noted that the Euro has >12" of snow for Marquette and Green Lake Counties, WI inside of 72 hours...and there are currently NO winter weather headlines in effect for those counties.

Hey Beavis, come to Wiscahhnsin, why don't cha?

Yeah, let's not. D/J/to a lesser extent F is time. A/M/J (not early March or early or mid-December) is time. Seasons in seasons, please.

I bet Beavis would have thoroughly loved the Midwest winters of the late '70s. I'm not sure if he's old enough that he remembers them from his childhood or what (I'm about ten years too young for that) but one of my other hobbies is railfanning, and I've often seen photos from that era of train crews battling huge piles of snow. In fact, those winters contributed to crippling the already struggling Milwaukee Road (Chicago, Milwaukee, St. Paul and Pacific Railroad) leading to its demise in the mid-'80s. I could see how someone who came of age in that era could get the impression that was "normal" climo for a 40-44°N winter. My main interest in weather is severe local storms (and chasing them) so I'm here to discuss that. Of course that requires warm, humid conditions to thrive, so to me a Wisconsin winter is something to be endured/tolerated only because it leads into spring chase season (which hasn't exactly been blockbuster in most recent years, either). I can appreciate a good photogenic snowfall or ice event, but not if I have to travel in it and I certainly could do without my constantly bleeding/itching knuckles on days like today.

That's gonna be the first thing to melt and fall off... my wife would think that's funny.

Wonder if this is going to be one of those situations where the Beltline and points south end up with substantially more snow than the official airport total. Big pileup in Rock County yesterday attributed to white-out conditions from clipper squall, although to my knowledge no SSW ever issued.

My apologies. Every single Midwest winter has gone this way since I joined ('17-'18 and since).

0Z HRRR has us getting 8.2" (Kuchera, and I think this will be fluffier than 10:1) by 12Z Sunday.

I'll take a "volatile" weather pattern any day. Endless CAD/WAD/AA-but-still-chilly and overcast are the worst.

Looks like the band of heavy returns pushing up this way from Illinois almost completely dissipated.

Knew the atmosphere was gonna find some way to make me regret not chasing today. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Like last night's 00Z, the 3KM CAPE on the 12Z HRRR is...noteworthy.

Marginal-equivalent probabilities were extended into far SE WI (actually, 5% hail contour extended further) for 1/7/2008, although the category didn't exist back then. EF3 with a 10-mile path hit in Walworth and Kenosha Counties. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2008/day1otlk_20080107_2000.html

DMX not entirely sold:

@madwx So GFS gives us 10.9" in this period, what do you figure that works out to IRL? 1.5" to DAB?

Not until after sunset yesterday. Forecast as of Friday morning was for sunshine most of the weekend. Crystal-clear now, though.