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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
  2. CheeselandSkies
    From yesterday's afternoon AFD, MKX didn't seem to concerned about ZR in our neck of the woods. Just wet snow turning to rain.
  3. CheeselandSkies
    Yeah, not looking forward to the drive to and from work Tuesday (my weekend is currently Sunday-Monday); even though coming home Friday and going in Saturday morning weren't as bad as I'd feared.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    No, that was this one by @SchaumburgStormer
  5. CheeselandSkies
    May have been posted already, but blizzard MD out for Iowa. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0056.html SPC spending more time on winter wx today than anything within what was that Day 3 Enhanced they put out on Wednesday. @andyhb
  6. CheeselandSkies
    9" as of 20Z at McFarland, WI (near Madison) per a Cocorahs report on GR Level 3. * Between forecasting and nowcasting; people getting hit posting updates and people complaining they are getting missed/rain, I think this is by far the hottest winter event thread for this sub since I've been on this board (winter of '17-'18 would have been my first here).
  7. CheeselandSkies
    Had to take my Corolla to work today since my wife with her 4WD SUV also had work this morning. Almost got stuck trying to make a right turn due to all the compacted slop piled in the intersection, fortunately I was able to reverse out and take an alternate route. Also, don't be the guy in front of me in the thumbnail.
  8. CheeselandSkies
    Getting dry slotted here in south-central WI. First round turned the Interstate near the state line into a s***show.
  9. CheeselandSkies
  10. CheeselandSkies
    Safe travels!
  11. CheeselandSkies
    Helped clean the secondary roads up a good bit ahead of the next round. Me and my FWD sedan will appreciate that as my commute is short but follows a quite hilly, curvy road.
  12. CheeselandSkies
    MKX now has a warning out for all of their counties.
  13. CheeselandSkies
    Timelapse from my porch window yesterday afternoon: Shameless plug, please subscribe to my new YouTube channel (deleted my old ones in September). I'll eventually be re-uploading my Keota and other weather-related footage there.
  14. CheeselandSkies
    We've been close to or in the sweet spot with this one for a while...and surprisingly that hasn't really changed. Should be interesting when I'm trying to leave work around midday Friday. @madwx I just realized how similar our avatars are ever since I changed mine to a frame from my Keota tornado video; horizon and debris cloud are at about the same level, only difference is my foreground is drab brown since it was taken in March.
  15. CheeselandSkies
    Not trusting it, merely commenting on it.
  16. CheeselandSkies
    That 18Z HRRR gives some parts of southern WI and far northern IL nearly 1" in an hour toward the end of the run with the snow far from over. Sorry, south of I-80 (possibly even I-88) folks.
  17. CheeselandSkies
    12Z Euro deepens 8 MB in 6 hours, from 981 at 18Z Friday to 973 at 00Z Saturday. Wasted QPF, bad ratios or not, a storm of this intensity is going to have significant, varied, and dangerous impacts across a large area. There could even be a storm surge in much of New England/Long Island with that strong, broad southerly fetch blowing into the low Friday night.
  18. CheeselandSkies
    Not as much as the HRRR, though.
  19. CheeselandSkies
    There's always gotta be one...
  20. CheeselandSkies
    06Z GFS does this weird thing where it moves the low southeast on Friday morning. 992mb over central MO at FH054, 989mb over the AR/MS/TN confluence at FH057. What gives? 12Z NAM looks $$$ for WI and western to northern Lower MI.
  21. CheeselandSkies
    Not bad consistency on placement and intensity 36 hours apart:
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Getting under some of the heaviest returns of the event here. 8" reported at Muscoda, WI.
  23. CheeselandSkies
    So the question is, why does the guidance (across multiple models and multiple ensemble members) keep showing them until relatively close in time?
  24. CheeselandSkies
    Nice. I'm mentioned on here previously that during the winter storm of early December, 2009 when we got about a foot of wet cement (I can only guess what ratios were, but definitely less than 10:1), my dad had a snowblower attachment for his John Deere 112 garden tractor, but being a single stage it was useless for throwing that stuff.
  25. CheeselandSkies
    Is that a 2-stage (has a blower inside the chute in addition to the auger)?
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