CheeselandSkies
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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies
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Embedded sup with the northern complex moving into Sauk County, WI as well, although it's still going to be a miss north for me unless it turns a little more right.
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Holy crap. Tornado warned cell N of Maquoketa looks nasty, as well. Real potential to produce with that one. Edit: Went TORR as I typed.
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Yet another tornado warning, on the MS River near St. Donatus, IA. Velocity looks like this one could do something.
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Weirdest severe thunderstorm warning polygon ever just issued from the Dubuque area eastward into Jo Daviess County, IL. Whoever drew that up be smoking something bomb as hell.
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2" hail reported in Platteville.
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If it can hold together and this SW WI cluster doesn't totally sap the energy for it, that other cluster N of La Crosse should be what eventually gets to Madison.
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Tornado warning in SW WI.
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Watch out for more of WI now: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0561.html
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1.25"-2.75" hail reported with the Iowa supercells.
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Here we go: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1758.html
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Still a confirmed per the warning with that supercell tracking west of Ackley, IA.
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Severe warning on that more eastern Iowa cell, and looks like a couplet starting to form. Maybe I shoulda chased out there after all.
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Funnel cloud reported near Dows, IA earlier. Legit supercell there, looks like another one might be trying to fire up near Waverly/Bremer.
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Eastern half or more of the Enhanced has yet to be put under a watch, meanwhile there's one in effect that's entirely within a marginal risk in the mid-Atlantic.
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Frustrating, seeing as it's the only CAM that updates hourly. You'd think at some point during the day it would get a handle on things. Edit: 19Z is more active for us. We'll wait and see, I guess.
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Not liking the HRRR trends of splitting southern Wisconsin to the north/south this evening. As of yesterday evening we were squarely in the bulls-eye on multiple runs, of multiple models. We hit the severe threat hard at work this morning, now we might not even get any rain in Madison.
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I dunno, people do more than enough crazy shit around storms as it is without bringing drugs into the equation. Although, maybe a little weed would tone down the adrenaline and actually improve behavior? Although, you just know the high AF guy would be the one going 20 MPH at the front of the conga line.
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I was gonna chase some storms...but I chased something else instead.
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What the heck happened to my thread? lol
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16Z mesoanalysis has STPs of 2 along the WI/IL line at 22Z this afternoon.
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Not liking CAM trends...middle of the night timing now for S WI and stuff is starting to weaken. ***Edit: Referring mainly to 3K NAM and HRRR...others are all over the map with timing, placement and mode. Looks like a just sit at home and see what happens kind of day.
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11Z HRRR was rather tame for southern WI, not bringing storms in until 03-04Z tonight. However, 12Z puts a sup right through Madison at 01Z.
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Started a new thread to discuss today. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk -
I think today merits its own thread at this point. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Which is fine by me since I-94 runs right through Madison.
