snowmagnet

Dr No originally was the 1st to say yes, but then maybe just took a couple of sick days. Seeing the others come around, I bet it will come back. And if my memory serves me, I am pretty sure it has happened several times.

I was just thinking that the Eastern and southeastern areas did well in a couple of storms a few years back while most of us had nothing.

Still coming down fairly steady in Fairfax. Coating the ground again!

Had some sleet earlier, but Fairfax County seems to have a forcefield around it on radar, keeping snow away until around 5 pm.

I'm enjoying the snow day, but don't like hearing rain/sleet outside my window while it's showing blue on radar. I did take the new Australian Shepherd pup out for a Jebwalk in the snow and he is loving it. It seems like we have been stuck at around 2" for the past several hours. The roads are cleared pretty well in my neighborhood, so it is definitely less than expected. I agree with Bob Chill about the Miller B PTSD. I really hoped models were onto something, but I 'm not holding my breath for part 2 of the storm in my neck of the woods (Fairfax). But I am optimistic for the rest of February.

That’s a great map. I love the details! Thank you!

Looks a little like the Euro 5 days ago.

This must be the most stressful part for meteorologists. People will always complain when they get it wrong. Everyone wants an accurate forecast, but with these kinds of storms, you really can't know until it sets up off the coast. I've always liked these kinds of storms for this reason...the storm will do what it wants. Then we just sit and watch the NWS continue to increase totals throughout the storm!

I think it added that .5" to my totals! Northern VA here!

The Euro set the bar a few days ago...

I’m happy to hear you say that because I don’t remember many Miller B’s that have worked out well IMBY. And so glad to hear from you! The last good storm we had was the Bob Chill storm - 2 long years ago.

Fairfax Co and Loudoun Co tend to do well with the deform bands, but I guess it just depends on the placement of the Low. I remember several storms in the past decade where we we got pounded with much higher numbers than forecasted.

Same as yesterday afternoon - 13" for DC metro area.

Was that the Bob Chill storm? That's the last time we had anything good around here.

I thought it was starting Sunday evening through Monday (or Tuesday morning if we’re lucky). That was what I saw on the Euro. Regardless, it’s only about 5 days away!

Remember when there was 12 hours in between the Euro runs? I know the 0Z and 18 z are not as good, but it helps to have a little something in between.

Yeah. I recall that Fairfax had around 24" with the 1st round and about 12" a few days later. Having close to 3 feet was definitely memorable, and I remember the flooding as well. Couldn't even get anywhere around the beltway. Jan 2016 was the biggest snowfall I've seen from one storm. I had 30" at my house.

Am I wrong that our biggest storms are generally modeled this far out? We never get a huge storm that pops up 96 hours before. If this has happened, I haven't seen it. I know we have had the rug pulled too many times to count, but...

If I remember correctly, our biggest storms (Dec. 2009, Feb 2010, Jan 2016), were pretty consistently modeled 5-7 days ahead of time. We were only tracking who was getting 18", 24", or 36"!

That's hilarious. I can relate!

So what type of storm is this potentially, other than a Coastal? I saw mention of a Heather A on Anthony Masiello's twitter comments. But then, someone mentioned a Miller B. My understanding is that we don't do well with a Miller B. I have never heard of a Heather A.

I was wondering the same. It doesn't make sense. It's still sleeting in Fairfax - no snow yet.

Didn’t January 2016 agree a week out?

From 24” to 2.4” is more than a slow leak.

Sounds about right- Jonah’s Wintry Mix. Confess. Did you buy a snowblower and curse us?