snowmagnet

Light snow in Fairfax currently. 29.7 degrees.

I got almost ¾” in Fairfax, just west of Fairfax City. I was rather surprised to find it when I woke up.

Geez. All but 2 have more than 2 inches IMBY. I would love for some of this to fall on a weekday!

That is quite a harsh cut off for frozen. 0.5” in Fairfax/Loudoun and over 10” just an hour to the NW or NE?

People always complain to me about this kind of weather in January or February. It is a little annoying at times, but it’s also par for the course in the DC area. I don’t mind if it’s short-lived, especially when we are tracking snow within the week. We don’t always break records, but 60’s to around 70 happens most years, often just before a big pattern change or snow storm. I remember being in shorts for New Years one year back in the late 70’s (I was a kid). I’d rather have a warm spell now than near Christmas.

My 16 yr old daughter is in shorts and asked for the AC.

I just saw this. My mom died of the same cancer - Glioblastoma. It’s a really deadly form of cancer. Same as John McCain.

I find it hard to trust the new GFS after last winter when it was the FV3.

I remember, during one or both of those years, we didn’t have good luck with a - NAO, but got lucky with a 50/50 or PV acting as a -NAO. I don’t remember the details, but it was a fun couple of months both years. I followed DT at the time and learned a lot about the teleconnections. I didn’t find this forum until later in 2015. If we can have something along those lines, we should be pretty happy around here. It’s at least, very encouraging. Thank you (and others on here) for all of your long range analysis. It is really appreciated by those of us who don’t know how to read these maps.

I've been reading Judah Cohen's twitter feed and he seems to be relying on the GFS and predicting the end of winter if it's correct. Hopefully the EURO knows what's up.

Last winter completely sucked. Go back and look at your comments last year. I would suggest that this winter is much better considering it is not even January 1st and there is always hope. Even if we punt the next 2 weeks, there is still time for things to change. The long-term modeling has proven to be awful lately, so there is still time for things to turn around. I am always the optimist. Sorry for the bit of banter.

So the NWS canceled the WSW and changed it to an Advisory continuing 1-2 more inches until 5 am. I thought that was odd.

Shocking! I don’t think they have ever measured more than the western burbs. We had 30” in January ‘16 and they measured 17”.

The Northern trend was real in this storm. We thought Fredericksburg was the bullseye, and then just south of DC. And the short term models keeps moving a bit north. But just south really suffered from the mix and north and west did very well!

It definitely helped to boost the morale on this forum. Especially after 3 terrible years. And this was supposed to be no big deal. I think most are satisfied (except Ji, of course). And probably the Northern MD crew.

You did quite well considering you were happy with 2-4 just a few days ago!

When you all officially measure, do you measure, scrape, then measure later, and keep adding totals throughout the day? I feel like it’s bedn snowing quite a while, but I still have just around 7.5.

Had about 5” before noon, now 7”. I’m hoping for 8”, but would have loved 12”. In Fairfax Co. just west of Fairfax City. Just enjoying the fact that it’s still snowing.

Loudoun is usually the first to call it!

True. Once the Euro picked it up, it didn’t waver much. Hopefully it will be reliable the rest of the winter.

But didn’t the GEFS and CMC see this storm long before EPS?

No we thought we would see accumulating snow this morning How much do you have? It just picked up in Fairfax. Big flakes...been light all morning. Hope it gets to you!

Big flakes picking up in Fairfax. Hoping to get a few more inches!

Just keep checking on our future HECS. WE thought this one would be a couple of inches. It's definitely better than that!