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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Euro AI is a major hit across the south, especially Tenn, NC and the upstate
  2. 12z has been bad for us almost every day of this week only for 18z and 0z to pull us back. See everyone in a few hours!
  3. Panel 32 is one of the most equitable winter storm depictions I’ve ever seen in the south lol
  4. The Canadian is the solution we want imo on a large scale. I know it didn’t deliver the goods on the surface depiction but it’s about as damn perfect of a look as you could ask for at day 6/7
  5. I’ve loved how crazy optimistic he’s been the past few days when he’s usually one of the first Mets raining on the weenie parade. It does make me feel positive.
  6. The Canadian is one of the best looks in days. A southern slider with weak HP over the Ohio Valley.
  7. I don’t disagree, I was just addressing the larger pattern question at hand. We can’t get snow because a ridge is pumping into the lakes ahead of our storm and finding a high pressure anywhere between Iowa and New England is like the Charlotte Horners finding the playoffs.
  8. Also - to the where is the cold question: Our TPV lobe gets punched back home by guess what? The Pacific.
  9. Our 50/50 low looked better this run but we can’t have it trending east. Re: tomorrow’s storm clears up a lot, good or bad.
  10. I’m going to go out on a controversial limb here and say that so far this meteorological winter has exceeded my expectations, so if it turns warm down the stretch, so be it. My assumption with La Niña back in early Nov was that we’d experience widespread SER problems and have a litter of days in the 60s and 70s. Dec was seasonal to below average and January is shaping up to be the same. I hope we score next week because in hindsight, it’ll feel like a coup to me.
  11. The fly in the ointment is this first system. I think we may see some wild swings after tomorrow with our 2nd system. Our cold air that follows system 1 is highly impactful on the end result of system 2.
  12. Overrunning is a fine way to go as well. Although it’ll be nerve wrecking because models are notoriously paltry right up to the event.
  13. My only thoughts this morning is that I think we’re trending towards a phased bomb. Each subsequent run seems to pulling that Baja low east quicker.
  14. @jburnscan we pin this and unpin 2024?
  15. I’d be fine with this event. Might even trim the grass ahead of it to ensure none of those grass blades are poking through.
  16. Icon was certainly a nice look and gets the Baja wave from moving to Australia. Let’s see what else comes of the evening.
  17. Just saw this as well. It’s definitely interesting that the graf is trending towards a solution we saw a few days ago - overrunning precip well ahead of the low after looking paltry for days.
  18. 30 minute flizzard. We need a new 2025 thread. Who’s got good mojo? I started this one and all we got was a devastating hurricane, so hard pass. .
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