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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    This is not a bad look…. Sprawling high over the upper Midwest - which has produced the signature supply of cad many storms before. Clear storm signal to our south……this bears watching and it’s not in fantasy land.
  2. BooneWX
    I agree. I don’t see any reason to think anything has been canceled or delayed. With a pattern change this stout and the teleconnections on the table, it’s wise to take the average of the models instead of falling for the back and forth of the Ops.
  3. BooneWX
    Maybe I missed something but both the EPS and GEFS looked perfectly fine. If anything, it was a positive trend since the prior ensembles had the type of cold that’ll send the lows into Cuba.
  4. BooneWX
    I’ll take 33 and rain instead of that.
  5. BooneWX
    Deep breaths folks. The ingredients are on the table. Just gotta hope Russell Wilson ain’t the chef.
  6. BooneWX
    That 18/19th timeframe just continues to look interesting.
  7. BooneWX
    the OP has been on such a wild ride these past few days. It was still painting phantom hurricanes in the Atlantic just a few days ago.
  8. BooneWX
    Man oh man this pattern is going to favor some seriously frequent flow events.
  9. BooneWX
    Incredible that even the new GFS knows where I-85 is
  10. BooneWX
    GEFS took positive steps with the PNA. That’s one key teleconnection that keeps looking better by the day despite the insanity for every other run and pattern signal.
  11. BooneWX
    If there’s a bright side to a warm winter, you wouldn’t be able to draw up a worse year for wall to wall cold with the crunch on the energy market right now.
  12. BooneWX
    It’s generally never a good sign when I’m on about a 10 day streak of seeing a ton of Mets start their tweets with “delayed but not denied.” but as others have said, generally the teleconnections don’t look bad and perhaps that’s the only thing we should be looking at anyways. The gfs is drunk with the new upgrade and everything else seems to have too many wild swings to take seriously.
  13. BooneWX
    Also one of you fellas needs to set up a livestream or live reports for one of the better flow setups . I lived vicariously through the Buffalo snow king two weeks ago and his reports were incredible. If you missed it, look him up on Twitter or crawl that thread in the upstate NY forum.
  14. BooneWX
    Yep I’ve tried to back off my panic from yesterday. I’m just a sucker for a cold December but it does look like we get the PNA close to neutral and borderline positive by around the 13th. We all know that deep down, NAO or not, that’s truly the one piece that matters the most.
  15. BooneWX
    Never! The only guaranteed cold comes April - Memorial Day edit: sorry everyone. Just a salty winter weenie.
  16. BooneWX
    What a disgusting flip in the models. Went from wall to wall cold and a rare setup to mowing the grass and golfing the rest of December.
  17. BooneWX
    This pattern is about to be unreal for you. The lakes are still warm and those fronts are going to bring a polar express with it. Can’t wait to see how much NWF you can rack up by New Years.
  18. BooneWX
    I haven’t been this excited by a look on the ensembles in years. We know how it goes…nothing is written until the ink dries but nonetheless, at least things seem to be getting interesting.
  19. BooneWX
    That -PNA is going to be the fly in the ointment. We should’ve expected it wouldn’t stay positive. I just hope it flips back before long. The NAO going - is certainly a nice step but a -NAO and a -PNA spells nothing more than transient cool days I’m afraid.
  20. BooneWX
    Don’t worry! This pattern will re-emerge in April.
  21. BooneWX
    Next week gets more and more interesting each set of model runs
  22. BooneWX
    Looks like McCllellanville might be the landfall point soon.
  23. BooneWX
    Ian appears that he may jog into the coast, south of guidance. That could have a big impact downstream - especially for those that were previously on the cuff.
  24. BooneWX
    If this thing comes in at Pawleys, it’ll have implications downstream. 20 mile wiggle south as the crow flies.
  25. BooneWX
    My eyes may be deceiving me but it appears to have commenced a west of north movement now… if so, Garden City Beach?
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