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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Ceiling has lowered quite a bit. I’m hoping this is an early indication that we’re in for a fun day because this all looks like upslope enhancement to me. As much as that soaks us most storms, I think we deserve it for this one!
  2. Good dudes who don’t get nearly enough credit for providing weather coverage to an underserved area
  3. What I keep seeing consistently in the models is that there is going to be some sort of narrow corridor that’s typical of a southern slider that’s going to over perform greatly. Seems like there’s two camps: 1. Forest City to just west of Salisbury 2. @wncsnowto Statesvegas and High Point
  4. After the swings this week, anything above 2” will be gravy. Hoping we all get to eat tomorrow. It’s been too long and after this fall’s events, we deserve it. Glad we have this thread and thankful to have folks nearby, even if I haven’t met you in person, to chop it up with.
  5. I probably shouldn’t but I’ve seen a few meltdowns from far eastern TN accounts on Twitter tonight and I’ve been chuckling. Get ready to learn about downsloping for once!
  6. The HRRR is initializing temps 4-5 degrees too high atm. Not sure that really matters because we’re talking about mid level warmth but obviously makes me cautious of over valuing warmer depictions.
  7. 27/14…. Patiently awaiting my order of southern sliders
  8. Sunday’s event outperformed in precip when compared to the models as well. I remember this being discussed in the MA threads.
  9. HRRR was first to the uptrend in 2022. It absolutely nailed the storm.
  10. Just hang on until tomorrow when we’ve had 6 hrs of returns and the air isn’t fully saturated
  11. Looks like we took a step back this run. On the wide view I saw a few min ago, there is a ton of gulf convection that robs moisture transport.
  12. The NAM is not currently verifying in Texas. Worth mentioning…
  13. If we can stay all/mostly snow, we really have a chance to overperform.
  14. Almost lunchtime and it’s still 29 at my house
  15. Whatever falls is going to become concrete if we get some sleet. I’ll be shocked if we verify in the upper 30s Saturday but maybe under full sun.
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