BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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Public report of 3.5” in Mount Airy.
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Yep. Northern energy won’t be sampled until at least Wednesday. Two camps I’m now seeing: 1. Traditional models mostly show a flat, weaker wave 2. AI models mostly show a partial/full phase with a robust Miller A. I know in western NC which option I’m pulling for.
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We’re at an interesting crossroads. The AI models almost all have a partial or full phase and a much more classic looking Miller A. The traditional models are mostly in the weak, flat camp. It’ll be interesting to see what solution wins. I know which camp I’m rooting for.
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My family in Mount Airy has about a half an inch on the ground, silver dollars falling and it’s 28.
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Sleet 35/18
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All in all, I like where we’re at right now, even if we’re still awaiting the Euro. I’m getting a feeling that we’re looking at a true CAD event regardless of how amped or not amped the system is.
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I’m telling you, we gotta move it all here going forward. As we get closer, if we get more I85 solutions, it’s going to be gross in that main thread.
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The GFS is terrible at day 5/6 with handling low level cold
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My goodness it is thumping at hr 138
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If that moisture can hang on over the mountains, we’re going to get quite the surprise.
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Yall are about to get a surprise
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They were good, as were the ensembles, despite the mood in here.
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I need a subscription to one of these model tracking sites. I’d kill to see the city chart for Hickory rn.
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I’m getting Jan 2022 vibes. I think the setup is very different in the upper levels but the surface depiction feels similar.
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We are in the best position as of 9 am that we’ve been at any point tracking this system
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Interestingly, it’s ensembles don’t support a Miller B at all.
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Very good hit by the GFS
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This is a major positive step. Major!
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Euro AI at 18z is almost exactly the same as its 12z run. 4-6” region wide and a damn near perfect position for the low. I know we don’t have a long track record with it, but several Mets speak highly of it and it performed well for tomorrow’s storm. It’s had the most consistency we’ve seen so far even though that’s not saying much.
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I may have to move here permanently for the remaining analysis because what will still work for us won’t work for many and I’m not reading through the whining.
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Sorry, should’ve added more context. Most show a less amped system and a true southern slider.
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Looking at the individual GEfS members. Few - none agree with the OP.
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GEFS panels for 18z looked very good tbh
