BooneWX

Summer has arrived. Hang on tight, because you’re not allowed to get off the ride until at least Oct 31 for the most part.

Someone is going to get nailed with widespread 90° temps and dews in the 60s, no doubt. Figuring out where these MCS’s go is always such a crap shoot though. It’s been fun to watch the HRRR swing entire regions every few runs. if anyone wants some chuckles, the NAM has cape about 4,000 for a chunk of the Carolina’s tomorrow.

We’ve been on a roll recently with having normal rainfall events at regular intervals.

Yea I’m worried about the fire risk too. We’ve had some seriously dry summers lately so I’m hoping maybe we catch a break and have regular storms for once. Our region is due some peace and quiet.

Wedged in on Memorial Day - the annual tradition. It’s been a true spring, I feel like we’ve been spoiled with that the past few years. Maybe holding back the heat is our reward for the boring winters. Ain’t gonna lie though, it’s pool and boat season - bring on the heat. A cold beer doesn’t quench the thirst as well when it’s in the 50s and low 60s. Also, hope all of yall are well. I took a bit of a hiatus from weather the past month or two but I’ll be rummaging around the forum a bit more as we get into cumulonimbus season.

Unsettled week ahead. I’m not going to complain, we need it.

On the bright side, hopefully it means this cool weather is kicking rocks.

Idk if I’ve ever been ready for a downpour more than I am for tomorrow’s. This pollen has to be among the worst I’ve ever seen.

Tomorrow has become more discrete on the short range guidance. Bad for widespread rain and bad for severe weather.

We desperately needed that rain this morning. It wasn’t much but I hope the damp drizzly start to the day helped these firefighters.

Only got down to 36, but man is it a cold 36. I was surprised to see how gusty it was this morning.

Northern Caldwell County going into Blowing Rock is an absolute mess this morning per reports. 321N has apparently been at a standstill near the curves for hours.

Unfortunately this event is living up to its hype. Stay safe folks.

It was a nice weekend, looking forward to a SER with sustained warmth even though I’ll be cussing the heat by June.

Spring fever hit me hard this weekend. Yesterday’s weather was pure bliss. Had a honey-do list a mile long outside and knocked out building a playground for my little girl, planted a new crape myrtle and about 3 other plants. RIP to my back!! Next is the annual pine needle fluffing where I make my fingers go numb spreading 50 bales.

It’s a tough start to 2025 for the we want normal rain crowd .

Blows my mind that people are dumb enough to burn in these conditions too.

You’re certainly not included in my remarks. I’ll remain active as well. Your analysis are a gold mine year-around brother! Just got a bit sappy because the forum was bumping this winter. Vintage SE forum in my mind.

The offseason for this site has arrived!

Not possible, I’ll only believe results that crush the tidewater and beaches.

Speaking of severe weather season - does anyone else get a kick out of the fact that every single year is supposed to be a repeat of 2011? Severe weather weenies are almost as weird as us winter weather weenies except they have a weird kink for destruction.

If there’s a shot, that’ll be the shot. Likely a bit more fleeting than anything prior this season but there’s probably at least one more good punch of cold air before we really shake up the Pacific pattern. After that, it’s a curtain call outside of the mountains. Perfectly fine with that if so… I’m always craving warmth with the time change.

Also not sure winter and tracking is done. The MJO is parked in phase 1 and the models playing catch up to the cold wouldn’t be a shocker after the past few months. It’s certainly not going to have the same strength and bite this time around but the mountains can get major events into April and the entire northern tier of the south is due for a March storm.

I keep telling myself that in hindsight maybe it was a good thing. None of the Helene affected regions had any major synoptic snow. While I love snow, many are pretty sick of any type of adverse weather in this region right now.

Should get balanced out by the next rain event being 8”.