BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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Oh lawd!
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QPF should be insane. Much more Baja interaction.
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Precip approaching NC by Friday evening, wow
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Nutty thing about that icon run: more amped, but also a deeper cad. Some would get biblical sleet accumulation.
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This is setting up to be an absolute disaster somewhere and that somewhere is likely a historically large region.
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Another one for the ole’ archives .
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I hate it’s only Monday. I can’t shake the nerves.
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Cad will trend stronger on globals
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Our failure mode is apparent and it’s not a trend north
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Well I agree with you. They’re betting on an amped solution that plows into the high (unlikely). I think if anything, bet the streak. The streak being suppression.
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A lot of concern about northern solutions today but I’m way more concerned about an overly suppressed look.
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TAKE YOUR WORDS BACK. Mother Nature isn’t capable of doing it, I don’t think she has that dog in her (reverse psychology).
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The great southern winter storm of 26
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Godspeed to anyone in the freezing rain sector of this storm
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Hoooooooooly euro run
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Hell has frozen over, we’re going to have near perfect agreement with the GFS and EURO
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Incoming on the euro
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Well the Euro AI just came south, led by it noticing that CAD is a thing
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Absolutely stupid GEFS run. Make sure you’re seated when you pull it up.
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This is a completely different animal imo. Last year the signal was loud but also obvious early on that anyone further east than the mid south was hoping for strung out northern energy to pay dividends. None of that bs this time! This from an analog standpoint is 100% how you get a memorable significant impact from the plains to the eastern seaboard.
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This as well. This isn’t my bias but an absolute fact that deterministic models at range never account for CAD correctly. I’d expect we’ll see it under modeled until that Wed/ thurs window.
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I’m not banking on any model. None have done well
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Amazing volatility despite the overall consistency in the signal. Ensembles incrementally dropping south on the physics models and the exact opposite on the AI models. This storm will either crown a new king or signify that more learning and work will need to be done.
