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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. This went from a HECS to a nothing burger real quick
  2. And you will during the next rain as well. We only know how to get flooding. Now, when cold air is involved, good luck! Dry as the Sahara.
  3. We’ve firmly entered the territory in the main thread where some of us want a memorable storm and others are willing to sacrifice a lamb for a weak solution that nets everyone a dusting-half an inch.
  4. All folks west of I-95 are dangerously teetering towards looking at pictures of an OBX snow. It isn’t just western NC. We’ve got almost 3 full days for this to continue moving in the direction it currently is.
  5. Track consistency these past few runs among all models has been remarkable
  6. I almost let tomorrow get off my radar. 50 mph gusts and soils this saturated…no bueno.
  7. That temp gradient leads me to believe this will be more amped in the end
  8. Right where we want it. 18z eps went a little south and east with the heaviest precip. I don’t want the bullseye on the globals until late tomorrow or Monday. I don’t think we’ll see a NW per say, but I think it’ll adjust 50-100 miles NW with time.
  9. This Euro run gets many more involved in snow
  10. Weak and flat is certainly on the table but I’d lean towards the Euro camp because of the jet.
  11. The models seem to be catching on to the cold press. Solid day of trends.
  12. I’ll take it a step further: North of 85 = eating North of 40 = thanksgiving dinner with dessert
  13. Just watch the consistency going forward. I’ve always said that big dogs for western NC don’t pop up or oscillate very much. They bark early and bark louder.
  14. Fwiw, Eric Webb is in the camp that it won’t have much room to come NW like many storms we’re so accustomed to. He believes the block is keeping this thing pressed and we may be starting to see models correct to that solution.
  15. I expect when we get in the short range, cad will trend stronger as always.
  16. I’m all for a good ol fashioned 3-4” of snow with 2 inches of sleet for sledding. Just hope we can keep the ZR out.
  17. All fun and games until it shows a 5°C warm nose above us, violently charging its way to Richmond.
  18. I’m optimistic that this predominantly snow area could expand a bit as models catch onto CAD. I think we already started to see that last night.
  19. Exhausting stretch of weather. Just hanging in there for now, because I know if it follows our normal pattern, we won’t see rain for about 6 weeks here soon.
  20. Some brutal cutoffs showing up in our backyards @WXNewton @calculus1. like 2 inches for us and a foot for Lenoir
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