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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. We’ll see what the surface shows but this is quite the look
  2. Yea the trends didn’t go our way last night but lots of reason to remain optimistic. The pattern screams potential for the SE, and these models are still struggling to get a grip with the players on the field in this new pattern. storm? Check cold air? Check how much will it dig? TBD
  3. Impressive deepening off the coast. If it can crank that any sooner than what the GFS showed, somebody is getting blizzard conditions in the Carolinas.
  4. Too early to be stressing amounts when we were canceling winter a few days ago. Just enjoy the ride everyone! Buckle up.
  5. Euro has a storm and it was close to the result we needed. Take that as a win at day 8. I’d be more worried if there wasn’t a storm to be found.
  6. We’ll know how legit this is soon enough. The true big dogs are hunted a week out and waiver very little. I’ll never forget how the Dec 2018 had those preposterous runs 7-8 days out that we all scoffed at and it didn’t blink once that week.
  7. Snowpack fueled morning temps in the single digits all the way to the low country
  8. Nothing more electric than seeing the “hot” tag on the threads in the winter
  9. Don’t look now but still… that Monday/Tuesday timeframe is intriguing again. 12z GFS with a weak high over Pennsylvania and a disturbance trying to fester to our south. It even has snow showers breaking out over SW NC.
  10. Speak it into existence! The fat lady hasn’t sung yet. I still feel like we’re due a medium-short term surprise at some point in the next few weeks. The models are struggling.
  11. I love winter and cold as much as the next person but man… this is not the year for extremes to impact the energy sector.
  12. Would love to see the ensembles get on board here at 12z. It’s so so close… snow breaking out over Ark and Oklahoma is a huge weenie alert signal for at least the Carolinas. On the positive side - It feels like we should expect that any shots of winter weather at the front of this pattern change would likely come with little advance. At 7 days, I like this. The players are on the field.
  13. Shared this in the other thread but especially for us, this isn’t a bad look at the 7 day range. The high pressure location is very workable and should supply enough dry air down the spine. Now can we get that disturbance to turn into a slider or full on Miller A?
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