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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. when you take out all the model variations and everything like that this is what it’s been telling us for a couple of days now. Not much on the coast, maybe a few slushy inches in the city and immediate northwest burbs, and as you approach 287, you may get closer to 6 inches
  2. There are three lines in Westchester. One at the Cross County. One at 287. One where the Taconic and Sprain meet. Below Cross County you deal with northern NYC forecast. Above that you get progressively snowier with each line. 287 being the big line
  3. They don’t know what they’re rooting for. We’re seeing what sticks. One has it north and strong. one has it east and weak. But both those equal the same thing snow then rain. one because it’s not strong enough to pull cold air in and one because it’s too far north, and brings us warm air. The rest are somewhere in between. Long story short if you live near 287 you’re gonna have a good day. If you live in Long Beach, you’re gonna have a bad day. If you live in city youre gonna have a miss near enough to stay tuned
  4. Very common on clear winter mornings. Get used to it. SE inland radiates very well! Much better than NYC metro
  5. Look at the huge change in just 20 years! How fucking scary!
  6. Ill take it. So will most at this point
  7. I like that there’s a storm that we are tracking with this. Makes it all seem possible at least briefly
  8. if you live in the suburbs, you’ll be below freezing on the first. But I get your point.
  9. never really works out like that though for them. If they get snow and we don’t, it’s because the storm went out to sea below us. It is very rare where they are getting snow, and we are getting rain simply because they are so much warmer than us. It almost discounts the fact that they are a bit west, and inland.
  10. they will be less affected by AGW than us in terms of cold lows. They don’t have an urban heat island, and they are inland. What is missing in this discussion is that the days that go below freezing have the potential to be much lower up here than they do down there. what is alarming is how few days New York City is now going below freezing. 8% of days. really on the cusp of saying this is no longer a winter city if this continues unabated Looking into 2024, I dont see many night below freezing for CPK thru mid month
  11. Moving more into a Seattle/London type winter climate with the pac. Interesting turn of events to say the least. I wish the summers would cool down a bit. That would actually make me really happy.
  12. except we’re tracking a storm, right? Too many guys that don’t know what they’re talking about speaking in absolutes on here. and for what it’s worth I agree with you. I think it is toast, but it’s January and we’re not out of it yet.
  13. It just doesnt look that cold through 10th though. Need perfect setups
  14. …and the weeks are ticking by quickly
  15. Many people dont realize that the Saw Mill Pkwy is actually the Saw Mill River Pkwy. next to it is the Saw Mill River, which at most, is a glorified Brook. It now looks like this once a week. Very sad what’s happening here and very alarming. Anybody that thinks this is in the realm of normal is delusional
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