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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. they wouldn’t be well above normal. There has been a shift but don’t make it sound like we’re running 5° warm versus 1995. The rapid shift really occurred post 2010. which means the averages will really jump when the 1990s are removed from the average. But that is 20 years from now and that’s why they use a 30 year rolling average. because they may not jump as much as we think they will. We need to see. The whole point of the 30 year average system is to avoid narratives like this of rapidly moving goalposts
  2. Looks like Daytona is taking it on chin this morning. They are used to these (now usual) backside storms and they seem to cause more damage for area than storms that graze them from ocean Gusting to 59 kts currently
  3. Cousins in Stuart Florida getting wrecked by tornadoes. Family in Tampa fine. Go figure. Me? Sitting in Whitestone Bridge traffic going to Citi Field almost wishing a tornado would clear this freaking road
  4. There’s really no way to do that. There’s so many factors at play. Speed of movement, terrain, ground saturation and the amount of precip. For intensive purposes, this is so bad because it is a mountainous region. This level of precip would be bad anywhere, but it’s especially bad when you add in landslides and mudslides due to the mountains.
  5. so glad I gave up a weekend of weather so you could have a vegetable garden for another two weeks haha cant be worse than last fall right? Rain/59F Fireplace on
  6. It’s almost October. Who cares? Not worth a saturday. And no, we didnt need the rain. Plenty of rain thus far and a few dry weeks doesnt make a drought or a crisis
  7. Let’s not be dumb about this. Pick a field at LSU or UF and play the series. You dont put people and players in dangerous or stupid situations based on a mascot on the ball cap. Get real
  8. Early leaves starting ti change here in Westchester south of 287. That is normal by historic standards, but early by 2010s standards. So yes, leave change is early this year. Dry and Cool
  9. Euro was worst model. Which one nailed everything well east? Good to know for fall/winter storms coming
  10. I actually just thought the same thing. I’m putting them on. frankly, I’m enjoying the Montana like weather. Doesnt get better than we have had this month. Let the grass turn to hay
  11. It is a great fall pattern thus far. Hold the Maalox
  12. this isnt a drought. Perhaps people have gotten used to a constant deluge of rain that has been our way the last several years. I invite you to go out west to places that are really in a drought. I remind you of years like 1995 here when we were really in a drought. Perspective.
  13. It is mid Sept…who cares if it dries out? We have plenty of rain in bucket for year. Enjoy nice weather imo.
  14. called the real heat going north 20 inches in Hpn this winter :/ Pattern on repeat
  15. guys, let’s calm down here, please. Really. And thanks. Your endless summer bullshit has been BN for the last few weeks
  16. i’ll put money on it shifting north again. Wash rinse repeat
  17. You mean like every other year until 15 years ago? Amen! Dont worry, in our new climate regime, the last week will be +15 and we will be AN or close to it for month
  18. Days like this I love being out east. Partly sunny and pleasant while the rest of the region takes it on the chin for a saturday
  19. I hate to sound like a socialite from the 1920s, but Lake Placid is the place to be in this heat. Pleasant and beautiful!
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