the_other_guy
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Everything posted by the_other_guy
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So what? And what have you had? An iceberg? Yelling torch and going +4 on 11/1 for a winter forecast skews warm to me While he may skew warm, and MJO cold, you just skew miserable
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You skew warm though. So I have to view your forecast through that lens. I dont necessarily disagree with your forecast, but it is important to mention you are the first to yell torch often to exaggeration Just like MJO skews cold. You get to know the posters on here.
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we are already torching. not gonna get more of a torch than this
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I had the air on yesterday. I had like six people in the house. I couldn’t take the heat.
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another nice cool August day. Because I have a newborn, I was up at 4 AM and had to run out to the car. I think it was still like 64°. un fucking real
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That warm ridge
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are we looking at a +5 for the first two weeks of November? obviously premature but what does the warmest November look like? You need to be making a run at it with these first two weeks
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Yeh yeh. Gonna be a cold DJF. Starts like this. Where is that first freeze bud? Nowhere in next 2 weeks that’s for sure. Several warm records though
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Thankfully its dry. One notable absence this warm october is rain or humidity. Good
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Man, this winter is so fucked. You could just feel it in your gut. What we did to this climate… Another close to 80 day next week too
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still fantasy land
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We could at least pretend this is the old days with temps 5 degrees colder
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Two day mega torch like our patented cold snap!
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You guys are too negative! NYC 26 LGA 28 JFK 32 HPN 45 Dec/Feb more snow -
That literally killed people. A lot of people and caused a lot of damage. Even though many people on here are screaming like the sky is falling we are hardly in a major drought situation. We certainly don’t need any tropical storm like Ida ever again. That was a fucking disaster be a tick in any direction. We are like 2 inches low in annual rainfall.
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yeah, that was a really non winter
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Like 65 degrees. I think we are safe from that
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38F this morning. coldest morning yet. Surprised honestly. Radiational cooling at its best
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I think the transition to la nina winters are good. So I have heard guys talk about on here. Something has to click eventually though
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good. Something different to talk about it’s like living in Salt Lake. Enjoy the cool dry weather and this weekend the warm dry weather. if this ever turns into a drought couldn’t happen at a better time of the year
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Always goes north and is less extreme than modeled 5 days out
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The patented three day cold shot that has become a normal during the winter. Starting right on cue
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hmmmm…that is a first
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I think your 10 year run started as our local climate started to show a noticeable change to warmer and more moist. Certainly increased humidity and subsequent higher night time lows. but the consistent over precipitation, breaking annual norms and the monthly big rainfalls just arent historically normal
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they wouldn’t be well above normal. There has been a shift but don’t make it sound like we’re running 5° warm versus 1995. The rapid shift really occurred post 2010. which means the averages will really jump when the 1990s are removed from the average. But that is 20 years from now and that’s why they use a 30 year rolling average. because they may not jump as much as we think they will. We need to see. The whole point of the 30 year average system is to avoid narratives like this of rapidly moving goalposts
