the_other_guy
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Everything posted by the_other_guy
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for all the noise around Central Park measurements, they essentially got no snow last winter. A tenth up or down, you never looked out and saw white ground in Central Park last winter. To me that makes the record good enough. -
Transient warm shot hahaha
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Would have been packed. 25 years ago schools rarely closed, the trusty 7 train took my mother around in all sorts of storms and blizzards, and the idea of banning travel would have been ludicrous. Now we live in a world where everyone with a twitter account and an ounce of power feel the need to preemptively declare an emergency, tell us how this setup is more dangerous than anything before, and use both those reasons to take away the right to leave the house from hours before an event to hours or days after. Cant wait to see my kids school delayed 2 hours for 3 inches of snow on Tuesday because Westchester never saw snow before
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And that’s what you really want. You want this to fall at night to get maximum accumulation
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Start looking at HRRR now
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and I think that’s what we’re working with. Guys keep mentioning higher snowfall amounts. It’s really what it is and if it’s cold enough and if the position is right for it. There are no warning level snows coming out of this
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There’s just not that much precipitation here on the NAM. At least for NYC Metro
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Here. I dont care about KC haha. This is run of the mill winter time “cold” for NYC. Nothing Arctic about it for us.
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it isn’t that cold. It’s like 29 or 30. You are looking at one aspect, which is the track, but the development and amount of precip are the other aspects. It keeps backing into coast and (very warm) water comes in, it isnt a good mix for a 1-3 type event. Daytime, as I mentioned, also sucks for NYC with these small events. Becomes a grass/car topper special on a street with subway lines underneath. Bluewave said Jan is running +6 in NYC. That is disgustingly warm. Everything is warm. the ground is warm. The water is warm.
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Cold snap isnt that cold either.
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If you are lucky.
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None of these guys know what February will bring. They arent Jehovah. Last week of Jan looks warm. Beyond that, who knows
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I wish the timing was more night time. 1-3 urban areas in day…eh
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60F at 10 am on Jan 13. I mean, if you reflect on that, Holy Shit!
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Almost comical how warm it has become.
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Its more than that. I think most of us know something has to click in the next 7-10 days or its over. No one wants to say it yet, but in our gut, and looking at extended forecasts, we could see that. And when I say it’s over, I don’t mean no snowfall for the winter but I mean any chance of a normal winter. this week, this cold snap is pivotal.
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shame if it doesn’t work. last week of the month looks quite warm. If this or 20th dont work you go into Feb with a goose egg in CPK. History is not kind at that point. Its only 1/12 but its getting late real early past next week…
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As soon as Mike Woods said models are looking south so just a slight chance of snow I warmed up the snow blower.
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he called for no snow below 84 on the last one. There’s a lot of science on here and there’s a lot of bias and agendas. You gotta start learning how people post (even if they are knowledgeable) and just stop reacting to every oscillation they have.
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my gut tells me if we miss this one New York City is going for another under 10 inch winter this is the one for the winter be it timing, el nino history, set up, cold air.
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just remember last week when many of you were saying you want this look suppressed and out to sea when you’re several days out.
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I wish this site had a ^This reaction
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agreed. This isnt our arctic outbreak. But it will be winter cold, and we will be in the game for a couple of of storms.
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I lived on the beach in Wading River my whole life. It happens. It sucks. They will replenish in spring. The noreaster winters are the worst for beach erosion. you’re a good poster, but you have a very strong glass half empty view of winter around here. it undermines your skill. Next week is going to be cold for the type of winter (shit) we’ve had so far. Two legitimate snow chances. And if past el Ninos are any indication, that may be it. Loaded February isnt a guarantee. So, glass half full and enjoy it.
