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Pityflakes

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Everything posted by Pityflakes

  1. Pityflakes
    Wonder if we sneakily hit our max heat index today. I'd trade in the 70+ dps to make a run at a all-timer on Friday though.
  2. Pityflakes
    South wind can't be beat at DCA. They won't get the "goods" until the westerly component picks up tomorrow/Friday. Also when the atmosphere dries out a bit, yeesh.
  3. Pityflakes
    DCA: 96, 100, 104, 101 BWI: 98, 101, 105, 102 IAD: 97, 99, 102, 99 SBY: 99, 99, 100, 98 RIC: 98, 101, 103, 101 Total Rain: 0.33
  4. Pityflakes
    It's the hour more of sun in the afternoon because of daylight savings time
  5. Pityflakes
    Pattern change heralding derecho around 7/10? GFS has had the idea for a few runs now
  6. Pityflakes
    Were there any storm reports from Rd 1?
  7. Pityflakes
    Or the line west of quantico if it holds
  8. Pityflakes
    whatever spinny energy we had from that mesoscale LP feature is now quickly shifting north to/above the Mason-Dixon line. Guess now we wait to see if we clear out or if these little line features hang on in the DC metro. Have all afternoon now though to reload.
  9. Pityflakes
    This germantown cell is no joke on radar
  10. Pityflakes
    They've got to warn that storm no?
  11. Pityflakes
    Interesting things happening west of leesburg
  12. Pityflakes
    I know but how often does that verify? Not saying we won't get a line of breezy showers with the trough swinging through or that isolated spots see bows, but I'd focus on what's happening now since the environment is the most primed vice later when there's potentially messy showers/stable pools/post-storm subsidence scattered everyone.
  13. Pityflakes
    How much warmer was it supposed to get anyways? Already in the upper 60s. Sun would help but seems like CAPE might be sufficient already. Also, is the first line going to end up being the main event? Wouldn't be the first time.
  14. Pityflakes
    It's right where we want it at this lead time! :/
  15. Pityflakes
    Wow so essentially a hold ( at the surface at least). Don't envy NWS. Looking forward to CWG's 2-12" first call. Got to stick w/ the King though for now I think.
  16. Pityflakes
    You know if the Euro caves this run you'll be expected to do pbp ad infinium
  17. Pityflakes
    Patience. GFS has at least 8 model cycles before game time. There's plenty of time to let it cook and do what it does best (fold to the euro).
  18. Pityflakes
    If the GFS magically scores a coup on this one I'll be ecstatic for my snow, but may just give up on this tracking hobby altogether because it's truly just model chaos!
  19. Pityflakes
    Moderate sleet/IP, 3.5 inches on the ground in Springfield VA
  20. Pityflakes
    I’m sorry but it has to be said. This storm sucks. What a waste of epic artic cold and prolific moisture. Didn’t get to see one real snowflake in the daytime and now I get to be pelted by sleet as I shovel concrete. Maybe 3 inches in Springfield which is now just getting compacted by sleet. At this point I’m hoping for freezing rain since at least it will make the trees pretty. I don’t care what the official “accumulation” figures are at the airports which count sleet on their boards, this is a big bust by all measures. #endofweeniecrashout.
  21. Pityflakes
    Accumulation yes, but would sleet actually add to snow depth (which is all anyone who isn't a weirdo like us will pay attention to). Sleet usually doesn't just sit nicely "on top" of fresh powdery snow but rather it mixes in with it and even compacts it.
  22. Pityflakes
    I always wondered what 2-3 inches of sleet would actually look like... Did any of the models over the weekend sniff out the amped/cutting idea? Were their red flags? [And yes, I know that potential for a 6" snow in the cities is not a "fail" but its certainly not in the same league as a 12-18+ mauling]
  23. Pityflakes
    Seriously how could we fail at this point? Nine times of of ten we fail because of BL temps/sun angle/rates/DST/lack of moisture. Here we have mega cold (up to 750mb) and moisture transport galore. The other times we fail because we're relying on a coastal that just doesn't get its act together in time or is shunted south at the last minute. No so here we are 6-12 before the coastal really gets going.
  24. Pityflakes
    A run for the archives
  25. Pityflakes
    heavy virga
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