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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
this may be why people I know think that this has been a really cold month! When I tell them it's been mild they refuse to believe it because there haven't been 50s and 60s like we had last January. To most people around here, temps below 50 are considered cold. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
what about 10-11 and 14-15? those were mighty cold. 02-03 and 03-04 were too -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
yeah a friend of mine thought it was ridiculous when I told him this was a mild month- he said if it's mild why dont we have temps in the 50s and 60s like we did last January? -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like we could be going into Phase 8 after the middle of February? -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
it also looks like that suppressed event on the 28th may be setting us up for the big one here -
Retrograding sounds a lot like the late Feb 2010 snowicane. Looks like this one will be really windy too!
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I remember Dec 2010 well, why is it that it's often the 3rd storm in a series that seems to be the "big one"? It seems to be the case this time around also. Do the first couple do something to set the table for the third storm to be the big one?
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if it does mix at the coast it's only at the beginning of the event, as cold air is being drawn into the storm.
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also mostly snow for all of long island
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it was threading the needle all right, but the wrong needle
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these kinds of storms typically produce the most historic totals, not the dynamic ones
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
this is supposed to be a good thing right, there was a massive drought with widespread wildfires there last summer...interesting to see 89-90 and many years from the 2000s on this list -
Snow-ice-rain for the NYC forum 7PM Mon 1/25-6AM Wednesday 1/27
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
370 days without measurable snow in DC is close to breaking the record, so that one definitely isn't an "offshore" storm it's merely a midatlantic special, which means here on the south shore of Long Island, we can still get something out of it- I knew there was going to be a positive of being in the southern portion of the forum one of these days lol. fyi I'm actually rooting for DC not to have any measurable snow, because 11 more days and it will break their all time record for lack of measurable snowfall. -
Light snow possible between 1/19 Tue night-1/22 Noon Friday.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
any ideas about the pattern going forward, Walt? I have been reading that the pattern should warm up again after Feb 2 (Groundhog Day!) but there could be another cold down sometime around Valentine's Day or around President's Day and that might last a week or two also? -
Snow-ice-rain for the NYC forum 7PM Mon 1/25-6AM Wednesday 1/27
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
that Thursday event is going to break DC's 370 day plus measurable snowless streak? -
Light snow possible between 1/19 Tue night-1/22 Noon Friday.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
yes that is the advantage of elevation, you never see that sort of snow at the coast. at elevation it can even snow in bad patterns....lake effect country is the same way. So the total was 3.2 from the other day and 2.0 from yesterday, Walt? -
what does the cone of uncertainty look like?
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I have a feeling some will be up for the 00z runs tonight -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I guess it depends on where the 100 mile change occurs. Why dont we have cones of uncertainty for winter storms too lol -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
two storms that come to mind are Boxing Day 2010 and the Feb 2006 HECS -
Light snow possible between 1/19 Tue night-1/22 Noon Friday.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
we were the local jackpot on Long Island with 0.7 inches of snow lol. Looks like my other home got 3.2 inches and I was able to confirm that when I drove there (and they were in the middle of a blinding snow squall yesterday!)