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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    I think the JFK number will be between 7-8 inches we overperformed on the back end
  2. LibertyBell
    Feb 2013 that almost dumped 40 inches on eastern LI and CT
  3. LibertyBell
    Thanks, Chris. BTW this was YOUR storm since you called it first. And I like that they are keeping the NAM around until a new model can replace it that has at least a similar level of functionality.
  4. LibertyBell
    Is it ever possible for a coastal region at our latitude to get 40" from a single storm? I know we've done 30....but 40?!
  5. LibertyBell
    Dec 1995 LGA got 14" as a result of sound effect after the main event while CPK only had 8"
  6. LibertyBell
    eh mostly we dry slotted around midnight and switched to a mix for a time between 1 am and 3 am then back to snow at 3:30 am and then it got heavy
  7. LibertyBell
    I hope we can get one more event to get over the top- reaching 12 inches for the month would be nice.
  8. LibertyBell
    cant forget that 1898-99 season. I think the 34 inches at Cape May during the historic Feb 1899 is still the record for highest snowfall total in a coastal location from a single storm.
  9. LibertyBell
    Yeah it totally looks like a postcard scene outside. And I just read that there's a good chance we could get another one, right around Christmas. I dont know what could be better than that!
  10. LibertyBell
    Yes haha for some reason I was outside and documented the first flakes that fell around 2:30 PM and counted like 10 flakes between 2:30 and 2:42 PM and then the storm started to get down to business here after 2:45 PM. It started sticking as soon as the snow got heavier, around 3 PM and it definitely felt like the middle of winter for a few hours after that and also early this morning between 3:30 AM and 7 AM
  11. LibertyBell
    Finally found another happy person! I'm excited that it looks so wintry outside, the wind is howling and we are occupied with something other than this godawful pandemic. Still flaking outside, I've been up since 3:30 am and enjoying every second second of this since the temps crashed and it changed back to all snow and the winds started screaming.
  12. LibertyBell
    Yes, and I think we've shown that la ninas that come after el ninos can be especially snowy (maybe that was a factor here too, although last winter certainly didn't behave like an el nino). What I find curious is that the predictions for the snowy March in the 17-18 winter were quite good and some even compared it to 55-56 before that winter even began. What was going on in 17-18 that made people feel so good about a snowy March (and early April!) that year, Chris? The interesting thing about 15-16 vs 82-83 is first of all how historic the warmth in Dec 15 was and secondly how our peak historic snowstorms have migrated from Feb to Jan! From what I recall, before the last couple of decades there weren't nearly as many 20" Jan snowstorms as we've had since.....most of them happened in Feb. Jan before the 90s was characteristically a cold and dry month and if it wasn't dry it was on account of a few small snowfalls rather than one huge one. 2008-09 was the only winter in recent memory that I can recall following the old pattern that used to be so dominant. Probably not coincidentally, it was also an endangered species in another manner....a nearly average snowfall season!
  13. LibertyBell
    yup sw long island too, we changed back to snow a lot sooner than the north shore of suffolk county did, I thoroughly enjoyed the three hours of white out conditions I had beginning at 3:30 am with heavy snow and high winds.
  14. LibertyBell
    You were off on JFK..... I'm 4 miles east of there and I got 4 inches in the first part of the storm and about 3 in the second half (which I found more exciting because of the high winds and whiteout conditions).
  15. LibertyBell
    why is the NAM being replaced when it's been doing so well?
  16. LibertyBell
    In western LI the best part of the storm was actually late last night and early this morning with the heavy snow and high winds. I didn't think that much about the first part of the storm.
  17. LibertyBell
    Outside of people in the mountains and in Binghamton it looks like I was the only one who enjoyed this storm. I didn't expect a lot but what happened before daybreak with the heavy snow and high winds for a few hours, I thoroughly enjoyed. I wasn't expecting this to be historic and it wasn't.
  18. LibertyBell
    I was surprised at 4 am to see that the temps had crashed into the 20s and we had blizzardlike conditions here and you were still raining, JM.
  19. LibertyBell
    you were wrong....3:30 AM to 7 AM was amazing here with temps crashing into the mid 20s and heavy snow and high winds, transformers bursting looking like lightning and zero visibility here. Didnt expect it but thoroughly enjoyed it
  20. LibertyBell
    do you have snowfall totals for our official reporting stations? My favorite part of this event was between 3:30 am and 7 am when the temps plummeted and we had near white out conditions with heavy snow and high winds here....didn't expect that at all.
  21. LibertyBell
    10" is the break even point as far as predicting a better than average snowfall winter.
  22. LibertyBell
    Binghamton would have been closer to him and had the historic snowfall. How many 40"+ synoptic snowstorms have occurred in the northeast?
  23. LibertyBell
    yes see this proves my point that ENSO is not as useful of a predictor as AO/NAO are. The La Nina is still there of course, but it is not influencing our weather as much as AO/NAO are.
  24. LibertyBell
    that still rounds to 30, I find it acceptable at this point, especially with how horrible last season was.
  25. LibertyBell
    but we've also had extremely backloaded la nina winters like we had in 55-56 and a few years ago. I just think we shouldn't depend too much on ENSO. AO and NAO are far better predictors for us.
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