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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. Don, there's still a chance that what we've gotten is going to be it for the season. That would keep this season as #1 in futility.
  2. Having a historically low snowfall season is still in play.
  3. You're talking about the weekend of the 11th right?
  4. we need 3 years of El Nino to balance it out
  5. Do you think we'd get more of those bowling ball systems (they aren't SWFE if they go straight west to east south of us) if we had a +PNA? In March the -PNA isn't supposed to matter as much because of shorter wavelengths but this is near record levels like you said. I'm trying to remember the last time we had one, can't come up with it.
  6. what happened to those bowling ball systems that used to go straight west to east without cutting to the northeast? We used to get a few of those every winter, they usually exited the coast around the Virginia Capes and they were dependable for 4-6 inches of snow.
  7. I consider December 1992 to be the storm of the century, it had FAR greater impacts, the city was wrecked in the wake of that storm.
  8. I wonder what that tastes like Probably nothing like cookies and cream though it'll probably be crunchy.
  9. You should definitely get them back, they are my favorite color and remind me of my dad who used to plant them in our front yard!
  10. Wow these are my favorite color! In our mildest winter they start coming up at the end of February!
  11. But this storm is key to getting the 'big one' if indeed that happens. People just need to be a little patient.
  12. I checked these out-- wild that the Northern Lights (and pink colored at that!) were visible as far south as Vernon, NJ and Erie, PA! I wonder what kind of camera settings are needed to capture these? Others in this list were from as far south as Missouri and Oklahoma! The best ones were of course from Scandanavia, the happiest place on Earth lol. https://spaceweathergallery2.com/index.php?&title=aurora&starting_point=0 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193381 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193317 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193266 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193125 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193290 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193535 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193525 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193514 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193511 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193510 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193492 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193316 https://spaceweathergallery2.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=193487
  13. It's probably not windmills or wind turbines, but whales are going further north than normal because of warmer waters and entering busier shipping lanes and getting into accidents.
  14. it's why I hate skyscrapers. fortunately, we are changing the way we build them, using more opaque glass and turning the lights off at night so as not to interfere with night flying birds.
  15. Newport Beach? Isn't that near LA in the OC? It's awesome they deserve it. Snow looks dirty here anyway lol
  16. and it was so nice and sunny this morning
  17. luck may be a factor but if the same thing occurs for several years, then it's probable something isn't being factored in; for example in the 80s, the NW Atlantic was abnormally cold, which led to fewer coastal storms. The more you increase sample size, the better you can analyze data to find causal factors. In very small sample sizes variability (or "luck") is more meaningful.
  18. the interesting thing is that favorable patterns that produce and "favorable" patterns that don't produce seem to run in bunches, this is evidence that it isn't random....there is some outside variable that isn't being factored in, which makes the "favorable" pattern that doesn't produce less favorable than it might seem.
  19. we gage winters by production. If it doesn't produce it's meaningless
  20. The reason favorable patterns dont always work out is because you're missing something that needs to be factored in. Thats why they dont work out in bunches. It's not random, there is a pattern to it.
  21. I guess this is why John (Tip) mentioned March 1888. March 1993 also occurred on these dates.
  22. what dates are these potential storms?
  23. Yes 107 from LGA in 1966 for the record high! ugh January 1996 was severely undermeasured so that 81" figure from LGA is probably much more accurate, note the differences between LGA (27") vs Central Park (21"). This isn't new for Central Park, they also undermeasured PD2 2003 (26" at JFK vs 20" at Central Park), February 1983 (20"+ at both JFK and LGA, 18" at Central Park), February 1969 (20"+ at both LGA and JFK, 15" at Central Park), February 1961 (25" at JFK and 24" at LGA, while only 16" at Central Park.)
  24. Yes we see how inaccurate these totals are especially in these borderline events. I would guestimate that the 1.8 figure should probably be around 2.2 or 2.3
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