it would be comical if there was a "division by zero" error buried deep in the algorithms of one or more of these models lol.
Probably much more complex errors than that, but you get the picture.
Exactly what I just said. I am extremely doubtful of any forecasts for this because of minute changes resulting in a huge difference....this could be a true nowcast event.
What is the average model error day of the event? 10 miles? That might be enough to cause a big difference in the final result.
lol different way to get there, but the ultimate solution is the same. At this point I think it's safe to forecast 3-6 for the city and 6-12 for Long Island going west to east....a variety of ways to get there. 1-3 NW of Newark
thanks, it sounds exactly like a tidal wave the way I picture it in my mind, when the tide flows it carries material to the shore, when it ebbs it doesn't
I mean I have nothing to complain about, I spent a few hours shoveling rock hard concrete at my other house last weekend. I always get snow at one or the other-- usually it's at the other one.
8.9 inches at JFK is an unusually exact amount to project days out
I mean it would be unusual to project that hours out, but days out is even more perplexing.
I mean it helps when you've experienced several 20 inch storms like we have. Anything we ever get from now until we die is gravy. I honestly dont care if it ever snows again, because we've experienced the best and worst winter has to offer.