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TriPol

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  1. TriPol
    Didn't we say that back in Nov?
  2. TriPol
    Would the humid/high dewpoint summer have given us any clues also?
  3. TriPol
    No way we could have predicted a +SOI in December and early Jan and then a raging Pacific.
  4. TriPol
    I don't think WSWs will need to be posted as we've all been warned that this wouldn't amount to much with the PAC Jet raging as it is. For an El Nino year, our weather pattern isn't acting very El Nino-like.
  5. TriPol
    Also don't see any brutally cold air in the long range. When was the last time NYC had a January where a day didn't stay below freezing? (edited)
  6. TriPol
    Is that the Verrazano or the Throgs Neck?
  7. TriPol
    So the GFS caved to the EURO?
  8. TriPol
    But in the meantime, the current Global Forecast System — or the GFS — the United States' premier weather model, is running poorly, and there’s no one on duty to fix it. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/01/07/national-weather-service-is-open-your-forecast-is-worse-because-shutdown/?utm_term=.f23487e545b1
  9. TriPol
    Some snow is better than no snow.
  10. TriPol
    'Tis the season for Mid-Atlantic storms suppressed to the south. Hope I'm wrong.
  11. TriPol
    This is now the second mention of the month of February being the timing Winter might come around.
  12. TriPol
    Are any of these storms potentially severe? Imagine a severe t storm warning... in January!
  13. TriPol
    A few weeks ago we were saying wait until early Jan. Then it became mid-January. Now some are saying forget January and focus on Feb. We have our first "March" post and it's January 2. This is bad.
  14. TriPol
    What was the summer of 1998 like?
  15. TriPol
    Sounds like our November storm...
  16. TriPol
    Happy New Year to you all! May we end this month with 40" of snow with another 40 coming fast and furious!
  17. TriPol
    It sure did in 2001... that was a hell of a historic blizzard! Oh wait..
  18. TriPol
    A -AO and a +NAO?
  19. TriPol
    Which comes first? Does the +SOI cause the MJO to get "stuck" or does the MJO being stuck cause the SOI? Further, what's causing this horrible +AO and +NAO?
  20. TriPol
    Also, if there is severe blocking as Don is saying there has been in the past during +SOI Decembers which follow -SOI Januarys, could the blocking be severe enough that we just get cold, dry air and the storms are suppressed to the south of us?
  21. TriPol
    Thanks for this, Don. Your contributions to this forum cannot be understated. Question: What are the chances the SOI stays positive into January?
  22. TriPol
    Last March was a tight gradient. Central Park didn't even have 4".
  23. TriPol
    At this point, Jan 14 - Feb 14 is the only time we'll really have for any significant snowstorms. After Feb 14, sun angle becomes a problem for any 12"+ storms. Hard to see this as a 40"+ winter.
  24. TriPol
    I remember December 2003 had close to 20" at Central Park
  25. TriPol
    Don't be so sure. Our climate is much warmer today than it was in the 80s and 90s. Even a 1 degree (celsius) variance in temperatures could mean the difference between a 1001 low sitting off the coast and a much bigger, more potent storm.
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