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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

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Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

  1. Models look to be playing catch-up today increasing qpf each run. You love to see it.
  2. This wind is absolutely brutal tonight. Notice the 3k NAM is showing a transition to snow overnight with some freezing drizzle the majority of tomorrow.
  3. Not so much that’s it’s backing off moisture as it is the LP further east and not kicking the moisture back inland.
  4. Nothing like the GFS joining the qpf party at the 11th hour.
  5. Upslope enhancement? Sure seems like it!
  6. 18Z NAM has 2.5-3 inches of qpf here. Wow.
  7. Ouch. Lights out for weeks if this verifies in S NC and N. SC
  8. Well at least west of 77, appears a tick warmer east of there as the LP is a touch north.
  9. At 24 on euro, 850s colder everywhere.
  10. The footprint of where the heaviest accum will be is the same as the NAM it’s just about half the amount.
  11. RGEM is just crushing WNC at the end of its run.
  12. ICON south this run and coming in line with other models. A consensus is building folks. Get prepared, stay safe, and enjoy!
  13. Wetter and colder than 18Z for sure. The trend is our friend so far in the 0Z suite.
  14. With Euro being the most consistent model for this storm will credence be given to that model going forward? Considering it’s in the euro wheel house right now. Thanks for answering these for us!
  15. I’d love to see the faces of the night crew when they come in tonight to work on the AFD and maps and see what was put out this afternoon.
  16. MUCH better GFS run. Colder aloft for sure. 540 dipping into N NC. Was in C VA last run.
  17. Looks like two offices aren’t doing much collaborative work. Smh.
  18. What are they looking at? Euro, UK, FV3, CMC all show a foot and a half here.
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