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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

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Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

  1. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    26. Ice skating rink on my deck.
  2. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Just east of Boone and south down to Little Switzerland is going to be lights out I’m afraid.
  3. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Take a peak at the 0Z runs of the 12k and 3k NAM. Unbelievable
  4. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yep. At hour 9, precip breaking out and it’s more wedgie
  5. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Off topic but the 18Z GFS just gave us a white Christmas.
  6. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yes it is. I’d love to avoid that freezing rain.
  7. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    At the 11th hour, euro finally fully onboard now. Actually keeps the east facing areas as all frozen throughout event now as either freezing rain or snow.
  8. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    If you like significant ice storms, the trend is your friend.
  9. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    The NAM underwent an upgrade a couple years back and since has actually been on the dryer end of quite a few events. Not saying it’s right here but that bias thankfully was almost completely eliminated in that upgrade.
  10. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Cut the totals in half or even a third in some places and you still have WSW criteria.
  11. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Ummmmmm the Hi Res NAM says 1.61 of freezing rain at Boone
  12. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yes definitely. I’m just afraid the NAM may not be done trending colder and for longer. We gotta hope like you said that it’s more of a sleet fest or it’s going to be lights out, literally.
  13. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Some on the east facing side is going to get clocked with a significant ice storm. Don’t think it’s going to be a huge area but the closer you are to the blue ridge parkway and the divide, the better chance.
  14. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yeah this is gonna be nasty for a good chunk of WNC.
  15. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Which one? Ha. I don’t think CAD events are a go in his neck of the woods.
  16. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yeah the trend is pretty clear right now.
  17. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Canadian just went boom!
  18. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    The 117 hour is icy in Nc on the site I use. It definitely was a trend to wintry here in NC. The ensemble members have definitely been hinting at this for a few runs now. Good to see the OP heading that direction. Should be some good members here in about a hour.
  19. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Icon looks like it would be a pretty significant ice storm in the CAD areas for event #2
  20. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Big run on the 18Z GFS for the mtn counties. Trended toward the 12Z euro.
  21. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yep you’re right. The wind absolutely howls through here. I’m right on Dula Knob.
  22. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Woof woof!
  23. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    It sure does. You can see those changes really good at the 500mb level. Be curious to see what the euro shows in about a hour.
  24. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    GFS the past 3 runs has trended toward the euro. Slowly but surely.
  25. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Boy it got bad in a hurry here. Made a run down to Marion and came back up and my secondary road was white. Pouring right now.
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