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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. ma blizzard
  2. ma blizzard
    nice QPF distribution
  3. ma blizzard
    maybe if you universally add 3-5 degrees everywhere .. We can be sure there will be a cold tuck but TBD what type of T/TD we are advecting in from SE NH / SW ME Thur evening and Night
  4. ma blizzard
    ran straight outa ct blizz's basement: https://vortex.plymouth.edu/WRF/wrf_over_d3_Large.html this model is always entertaining when there is a cold tuck in play
  5. ma blizzard
    the meso low / cad sig looks a little better than the 18z run
  6. ma blizzard
    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct_b&rh=2020020400&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  7. ma blizzard
  8. ma blizzard
    Seriously .. this is still at D4-D5, its crazy to say anything definitive at this time range.
  9. ma blizzard
    IMO, watching how this interaction plays out will be pivotal
  10. ma blizzard
    In this case I think QPF is misleading .. 500/700 track was really good. If we kept this look, no doubt QPF would increase as we go forward IMO
  11. ma blizzard
    Just for ref when we compare this to 12/92 ..
  12. ma blizzard
    http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1992/us1211.php
  13. ma blizzard
    the SLP tucking in like that would be fine if it was doing so off ACY .. just can't have the ULL gaining latitude like that
  14. ma blizzard
    500 trended deeper .. if only we can get this type of solution but displaced 50-75 mi south
  15. ma blizzard
    wish we were there KPSF 010204Z AUTO 29016G28KT 1/4SM +SN FG FEW004 OVC013 00/M02 A2954 RMK AO2 PK WND 28028/0201 P0001 T00001022
  16. ma blizzard
    boundary slipping S / SW a bit .. def making some headway around rt2 corridor passed thru KFIT about 40 mins ago
  17. ma blizzard
    yep just heard that one too .. absolutely pounding sleet
  18. ma blizzard
    maybe the MU 20s in SNH start oozing towards RT2 corridor later this afternoon / evening as we get pressure falls to the south? idk but I have been very surprised how well 2m temps have been modeled so far
  19. ma blizzard
    legit light snow and flakes during this lull in precip
  20. ma blizzard
    33 and rain
  21. ma blizzard
    Not excited about the recent trends for around ORH .. hoping for sleet but very concerned about how much QPF could be in the form of freezing rain. That 850-700 mb warm layer is very deep and warm.
  22. ma blizzard
    I'd be shocked if the meso models don't start trending colder at the surface as we get closer .. there is no doubt the models are underestimating / not properly resolving the ageostrophic component. We have seen this movie before As TIP mentioned earlier today, I wonder if there will be a pseudo CF feature separating the drainage flow in the interior from strong easterly flow from the coast?
  23. ma blizzard
    12/23/17? super impressive cold tuck overnight sat set the stage for a not well forecasted 1/4"-1/3" for a lot of central / eastern MA not sure if you are thinking of this one, but that's what came to mind.
  24. ma blizzard
  25. ma blizzard
    2/7/03? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2003/us0207.php
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