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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. legit light snow and flakes during this lull in precip
  2. Not excited about the recent trends for around ORH .. hoping for sleet but very concerned about how much QPF could be in the form of freezing rain. That 850-700 mb warm layer is very deep and warm.
  3. I'd be shocked if the meso models don't start trending colder at the surface as we get closer .. there is no doubt the models are underestimating / not properly resolving the ageostrophic component. We have seen this movie before As TIP mentioned earlier today, I wonder if there will be a pseudo CF feature separating the drainage flow in the interior from strong easterly flow from the coast?
  4. 12/23/17? super impressive cold tuck overnight sat set the stage for a not well forecasted 1/4"-1/3" for a lot of central / eastern MA not sure if you are thinking of this one, but that's what came to mind.
  5. 2/7/03? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2003/us0207.php
  6. its not a good model... but to be fair I would expect a lot of variability run to run at this time frame (D4-5). Depending on the timing/ interaction with the s/w dropping south out of Canada, could mean anything from OTS to a cutter or anything in-between. The northern stream s/w is also in the middle of the Pacific right now so I'm sure there will be plenty of run to-run changes over the next couple days. We all know deep down it will be a thread the needle type situation to get a 12z GFS esque scenario anyway
  7. I'm not sure about this .. the only legit events you could make a case for something like this happening are 1888 and 1978. Def a reason for a return rate nearing 100 years / event .. Off hand I really would like to toss those weenie 48"+ #s .. but the areal extent of the 30"-40"+ zone is crazy. Maybe everyone was measuring drifts? idk
  8. def had some flakes mix in by Brighton center over the past half hr
  9. same person every time with the most over the top forecast discussions
  10. we pray this ticks SE, the reggie could use another couple weeks
  11. I'd say we are "due" for something like this .. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1804_Snow_hurricane
  12. 90% of that thread is an embarrassment, if you want good content / info twitter is the way to go
  13. prob won't be enough to see a measurable impact, but there has been some ~VE4ish eruptions (Ulawun 2x, Raikoke ) over the past couple months that have injected SO2 into the stratosphere
  14. the logan # is crap lmaoo what a debacle that is good number of branches downed in Allston, fortunate to have power i think
  15. nice slept thru it 10-6 .. guess I set my alarm for PM and not AM .. looks like we got crushed tho, time for a weenie walk to dunks!
  16. this the exact map I would put out .. just everything multiplied by 2
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