its not a good model... but to be fair I would expect a lot of variability run to run at this time frame (D4-5). Depending on the timing/ interaction with the s/w dropping south out of Canada, could mean anything from OTS to a cutter or anything in-between. The northern stream s/w is also in the middle of the Pacific right now so I'm sure there will be plenty of run to-run changes over the next couple days.
We all know deep down it will be a thread the needle type situation to get a 12z GFS esque scenario anyway