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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. its colder not too far off the ground and with good rates, maybe dynamic cooling gets you down to 33ish
  2. must be decent OES contribution under the radar beam, cause its ripping pretty good under 10 dbz echoes .. bordering on heaviest of the day and great snow growth
  3. through 36, I think GFS will better than 18z .. looks better IMO at 500 mb anyway
  4. I don't doubt there is a spike after CAD mixes out, but some of the more meso guidance shows the low lvl cold hanging tough .. maybe even a weenie cold tuck for SE NH / NE MA tmrw midday?
  5. its never easy to accept you wasted a week tracking whether it will ultimately be 34 and rain or 37 and rain lol what a dumpster fire performance from the models over the last couple days.
  6. UKMET looks quite amped and warm ..
  7. GFS has a decent amount of QPF on Monday .. ~.25" - .4" region wide. Could get interesting for those who are looking for ice .. shallow warm layer but not the deepest / coldest layer beneath. Might have to take the ice threat more seriously if we keep trending for bigger impact on Monday. Could be a zone that has a solid glazing going into Monday night and sees a decent chunk of QPF fall as ZR from round 2. CMC looks like ~1/3" QPF on Monday
  8. hey man I would love nothing more than to see a big ice / mixed QPF event to seal in this pack, but the return rate is pretty rare.
  9. you haven't come close to warning criteria ice since nov 2002 what are you talking about
  10. KBOS def runs a couple degrees too cold as of late
  11. rev and taunton blizz ensemble approach might be the best way to go going forward
  12. should have gone back to metro west for this one .. ive never seen it rip this hard and have maybe like 4-5 to show for it
  13. we gonna get pasted here, might have to make a snowman at powderhouse
  14. radar actually doesn't look too bad for the next couple hours
  15. whats going on with the KORH ASOS? I'm seeing 0.38, 0.24 in the bucket for the past 2 hours ..
  16. Was 2011 the last real big -NAO in January? Can't recall anything modeled like this in a long time
  17. chief nowhere to be found in this thread either today .... looks like classic nuisance glaze to rain NW of 90/495 after initial T-1" of snow / sleet
  18. 18z Euro less robust than 12z with the Monday deal, maybe 1" or so where cold enough
  19. back in Shrewsbury for this one and def a lot of variance locally due to elevation .. only a coating so far imby at about 420', but at least an inch down at the center of town closer to 700' as of 11. Flipped to snow on the drive back at the rt 9 / 495 intersection at ~10:45. A little frustrating knowing just up the street from mby there's more snow on the roads then I have on the grass here seems like ~600'+ locally is the magic #
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