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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. these rates are nuts .. KORH and KBOS are on pace for over 0.5" this hour
  2. 0.62 in the bucket at PVD the past 2 hours .. impressive
  3. gotta love the run to run consistency from the NAM .. looks like it would flip to rain into S NH
  4. Agreed, 18z NAM was a solid look but close to something much bigger IMO .. meanwhile the GFS is fish food
  5. take 'em down .. turned out to be more like U50s - M60s .. some torchy spots like KBED did get to 70 though
  6. all jokes aside .. I do think we'll see widespread 65-70 by mid afternoon
  7. we watch 3/24 and potentially 3/25 - 3/26 as well?
  8. meso models have the bdcf reaching NE MA overnight
  9. ORH: Big time gradient between BOS / ORH
  10. I only referred to the 3km NAM run regarding low level temps overnight. Not w/e it does when it goes crazy with convection tmrw
  11. 18z NAM 3km shows cold tuck w/ sub 32 degree temps for a lot of E/C MA northwest of 128 overnight something to keep an eye on anyway
  12. maybe if you universally add 3-5 degrees everywhere .. We can be sure there will be a cold tuck but TBD what type of T/TD we are advecting in from SE NH / SW ME Thur evening and Night
  13. ran straight outa ct blizz's basement: https://vortex.plymouth.edu/WRF/wrf_over_d3_Large.html this model is always entertaining when there is a cold tuck in play
  14. the meso low / cad sig looks a little better than the 18z run
  15. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct_b&rh=2020020400&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  16. Seriously .. this is still at D4-D5, its crazy to say anything definitive at this time range.
  17. IMO, watching how this interaction plays out will be pivotal
  18. In this case I think QPF is misleading .. 500/700 track was really good. If we kept this look, no doubt QPF would increase as we go forward IMO
  19. Just for ref when we compare this to 12/92 ..
  20. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1992/us1211.php
  21. the SLP tucking in like that would be fine if it was doing so off ACY .. just can't have the ULL gaining latitude like that
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