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Wurbus

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Everything posted by Wurbus

  1. Wurbus
    GEFS has decent representation for this far out as well. I agree that I do like the consistent cold front coming through. This should be a fun one to track over the next 5-6 days.
  2. Wurbus
    Euro has the low developing along the front. It develops a little late for mid-TN, but East TN gets a little something at the end.
  3. Wurbus
    I haven't looked at the JMA model much (honestly don't know what it is usually used for), but this is what it has at 192. Looks pretty good for us to my untrained eye.
  4. Wurbus
  5. Wurbus
    Looks like CMC holds the energy back a little bit and it winds up phasing a little later. Not as big as a hit for mid/west TN as the last run. Looks like East TN gets some wrap around snow as the low travels up through East TN again.
  6. Wurbus
    CMC had an odd run. Develops the low along the front around Christmas and it comes up through east TN. I would think middle TN would score with that look. Although, at this point, it is an outlier.
  7. Wurbus
    I think we need a Christmas miracle!
  8. Wurbus
    A long way to go, but it appears GFS is the new Dr. No. Now that I think about it, this totally makes sense in the year 2020.
  9. Wurbus
    12z GFS was about the same through 132 as the 00z and 06z. On to the CMC and Euro. Will be interesting to see which model caves first.
  10. Wurbus
    2 runs in a row for the Euro. What could go wrong a week out?! Seriously though, I think we mentioned this time frame as something to watch about a week ago, so pretty awesome something is still showing up to watch.
  11. Wurbus
    I'm not sure where to post this, but looks like the HRRR was updated.
  12. Wurbus
    It is fantasy land, but what a beauty at the end of that GFS run. It has been hinting at something around mid-December. It is at least a window to watch. It is also followed by some bone chilling cold.
  13. Wurbus
    Been having light snow/flurries for about an hour now near Karns. I can see it just starting to stick on some of the grassy surfaces. Will be pretty white out here soon at this rate!
  14. Wurbus
    Thanks John. I was just on my phone looking and saw it earlier.
  15. Wurbus
    GEFS snow mean looked juicy!
  16. Wurbus
    That low just gets cutoff over Michigan and spins for days. If that happens, some of those totals in MI are going to be insane, especially with lake effect snow.
  17. Wurbus
    Euro has the Nov 30th/Dec 1st system cutting up through Nashville with some plateau/mountain love and flurries/light snow for most of East TN after it moves through. Looks to be chilly, regardless of precip.
  18. Wurbus
    1st weenie run of the season!! Courtesy of EPS member #33. I actually thought this was rain at first because it was so big!
  19. Wurbus
    Not sure where to post this, but it is an interesting read on how forecast accuracy is down due to less flights because of COVID. https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/18/weather/fewer-flights-covid-weather-forecast-hurricane-impact/index.html
  20. Wurbus
    TYS actually tied the record low of 39 this morning.
  21. Wurbus
    Cole Sullivan, from WBIR, tweeted that there are still 77 people missing in Putnam county. This is awful news and I'm praying for everyone that was affected in these storms!
  22. Wurbus
    GEFS had a few members that were pretty big hitters the first week of March.
  23. Wurbus
    Very nice increase in the plumes for Knoxville. Went from 1/2 inch mean to 1 inch mean, including one big dog and several more showing more than the 15z
  24. Wurbus
    It's looking like it will start in East TN Thursday morning (6-9am-ish), so the majority of it would be during the day on Thursday, but I'm not 100% sure. It is always difficult to determine the timing on the models for me.
  25. Wurbus
    Close to 5 inches near Karns. I think February is the new monsoon season here in East TN. Hopefully the models back off some totals from next week's system as well.
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