Wurbus
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Everything posted by Wurbus
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December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
GEFS snow mean looked juicy! -
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That low just gets cutoff over Michigan and spins for days. If that happens, some of those totals in MI are going to be insane, especially with lake effect snow. -
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Euro has the Nov 30th/Dec 1st system cutting up through Nashville with some plateau/mountain love and flurries/light snow for most of East TN after it moves through. Looks to be chilly, regardless of precip. -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
1st weenie run of the season!! Courtesy of EPS member #33. I actually thought this was rain at first because it was so big! -
Not sure where to post this, but it is an interesting read on how forecast accuracy is down due to less flights because of COVID. https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/18/weather/fewer-flights-covid-weather-forecast-hurricane-impact/index.html
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TYS actually tied the record low of 39 this morning.
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Cole Sullivan, from WBIR, tweeted that there are still 77 people missing in Putnam county. This is awful news and I'm praying for everyone that was affected in these storms!
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February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
GEFS had a few members that were pretty big hitters the first week of March. -
NAM vs the Euro cage match storm, Feb 20 - 21
Wurbus replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Big, fat flakes have stopped now off Lovell Rd and it is a lighter snow coming down. Grass, trees, & cars are white. Nothing on the roads or sidewalks here. -
NAM vs the Euro cage match storm, Feb 20 - 21
Wurbus replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Been ripping fatties for the past 10mins off of Lovell road & Dutchtown. Grass is starting to turn white. -
NAM vs the Euro cage match storm, Feb 20 - 21
Wurbus replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Plumes for Knoxville went down .07 qpf for the mean and went back down to around 2 inch average in snow totals. -
NAM vs the Euro cage match storm, Feb 20 - 21
Wurbus replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty good increase on the GEFS mean for this system at 18z. For reference, there was no blue in TN on the 12z mean outside a very small sliver in NE TN. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Very nice increase in the plumes for Knoxville. Went from 1/2 inch mean to 1 inch mean, including one big dog and several more showing more than the 15z -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's looking like it will start in East TN Thursday morning (6-9am-ish), so the majority of it would be during the day on Thursday, but I'm not 100% sure. It is always difficult to determine the timing on the models for me. -
Southeast Valley Special Obs and Last Min Forecasts.
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some decent size fatties now in Karns! -
Southeast Valley Special Obs and Last Min Forecasts.
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Starting to get light snow in Karns. Congrats to all of you south of Knoxville. Long overdue!! -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
Wurbus replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Close to 5 inches near Karns. I think February is the new monsoon season here in East TN. Hopefully the models back off some totals from next week's system as well. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm not getting my hopes up here in the valley, I'll believe it when I see it. I do think the plateau and mountains will do well though. -
December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
Wurbus replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
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That's a good idea. I actually think I saw an article saying they were flying out of Knoxville as well.
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I'm starting to think I just need to move up north to see some snow. With climate change, I'm starting to lose all hope for any significant snow around here.
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
Wurbus replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
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At least there was no melting ice rink in the middle of market square this time! Also to note, it's really odd to have a record high like we had, with strong southerly winds and a front moving through, and then go back to about 15 degrees above average the next day in the middle of winter. I think we hit 63 today and are forecast to be in the 60s most of the week.
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Knoxville tied the all time record high in January of 77 today. The only other time it was 77 in January was 1/25/50.
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
Wurbus replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
GFS didn't look that great, but the GEFS looks pretty juicy!- 1,666 replies